REAL Fighter Rankings

Results, Evidence, Analytics, Ledger

Divisional boards · Side by side · Methodology · Prediction model · Board v1.1 (shadow) · Fighter profiles · Card quality · Model accuracy

Versions: this page is the registered v1.0 board under the pre-registered forward test. v1.1 is a candidate published beside it since 2026-10-20; the two are graded on the same bouts and a candidate replaces v1.0 only under PREREGISTRATION.md appendix C.

Data through 2026-10-31. Page built 2026-11-06. Weights: rating 70%, quality wins 30%. Weight band = 10th to 90th percentile of the final position across 200 weight vectors drawn near the configured weights, with every placement rule applied; it shows how much a spot depends on the 70/30 choice, not skill uncertainty, and the published rank always lies inside it. C = champion, IC = interim champion, R = reserved (vacated with injury, owed a title shot); they sit above the numbered board with their metrics shown. Move = change since the board before the last event. Every name opens a profile (why the fighter is ranked there, last ten bouts, career statistics, trajectory). Open source, public data (UFCStats; official rankings history for opponent rank at fight time).

How the score is built

REAL ranks fighters on how they performed against the fighters they faced and how good those fighters were. Score = 70% resume rating + 30% quality ledger, each measured as distance from the division median in interdecile ranges, minus a last-five form penalty. Wins are valued by the opponent's official rank at the time (champion 2.0, top 5 1.5, top 10 1.0, top 15 0.5). Close fights with a top-5 fighter count in your favor; blowouts and losses to non-elite opponents count against. Full rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

Flyweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Joshua Van	+0.83	1694	5-0	6.5	4 E	43
1	–	Manel Kape	+0.81	1722	4-1	4.1	4 E	134	1-1
2	–	Kyoji Horiguchi	+0.58	1681	4-1	1.9	2 E	134	2-2
3	–	Brandon Royval	+0.40	1603	3-2	3.5	7 E	113	3-7
4	–	Alexandre Pantoja	+0.80	1700	3-2	5.3	9 E	43	4-5
5	–	Tatsuro Taira	+0.78	1729	3-2	3.0	2	176	4-5
6	–	Brandon Moreno	+0.68	1658	3-2	5.7	10 E	50	6-6
7	–	Asu Almabayev	+0.40	1633	4-1	1.5	2	127	3-7
8	–	Kai Kara-France	+0.20	1592	2-3	3.1	4 E	491	8-10
9	▲1	Amir Albazi	+0.15	1591	3-2	-1.1	1	267	8-12
10	▼1	Tim Elliott	+0.14	1564	3-2	0.7	1 E	50	9-12

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	▲1	Tagir Ulanbekov	+0.14	1580	4-1	-0.5	0	344	9-11
12	▲1	Imanol Rodriguez (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.14	1571	2-0	0.0	0	29	10-12
13	▲1	Andre Lima	+0.06	1562	4-1	-1.0	0	64	13-16
14	▲1	Bilal Hasan (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.05	1545	1-0	0.0	0	64	13-17
15	▲1	Ramazan Temirov	+0.04	1534	3-1	0.5	1	8	14-21
16	▲1	Rei Tsuruya	+0.04	1555	3-1	-1.0	0	64	15-17
17	▲2	Alessandro Costa	+0.02	1563	4-1	-2.0	0	113	14-20
18	▲2	Jose Ochoa	+0.01	1561	2-2	-2.0	0	176	16-21
19	▲2	Edgar Chairez	-0.01	1548	3-2	-1.5	0	50	19-21
20	▲2	Sumudaerji	-0.02	1543	4-1	-1.5	0	64	18-24
21	▼3	Alden Coria	-0.02	1536	3-1	-1.0	0	29	19-23
22	▲5	Alex Perez	-0.03	1587	2-3	-1.4	2	64	19-26
23	▲2	Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	-0.03	1533	2-1	-1.0	0	239	23-25
24	▲2	Jafel Filho	-0.03	1548	3-2	-2.0	0	190	22-26
25	▼1	Fabia Sintes (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.04	1518	1-0	0.0	0	57	18-27
26	▼3	Lone'er Kavanagh	-0.04	1503	3-2	1.0	2	8	13-28
27	▲1	Joseph Morales	-0.05	1575	2-3	-1.0	0	50	24-27
28	▲1	Charles Johnson	-0.11	1547	3-2	-3.5	0	78	26-31
29	▲1	HyunSung Park	-0.12	1521	3-2	-2.0	0	379	29-30
30	▲1	Steve Erceg	-0.13	1527	2-3	0.6	2	99	28-30

Bantamweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Petr Yan	+1.23	1752	5-0	8.2	8 E	8
1	–	Sean O'Malley	+1.03	1729	3-2	6.1	5 E	140	1-1
2	–	Song Yadong	+1.17	1777	3-2	6.0	5 E	64	2-2
3	–	Umar Nurmagomedov	+0.80	1723	3-2	2.6	3	64	3-3
4	–	Merab Dvalishvili	+1.41	1783	3-2	9.6	8 E	8	4-4
5	–	Mario Bautista	+0.67	1681	4-1	2.6	2	113	5-5
6	–	Cory Sandhagen	+0.65	1733	2-3	2.3	8 E	113	6-6
7	–	Marcus McGhee	+0.51	1662	4-1	1.0	0	29	7-8
8	–	Montel Jackson	+0.50	1714	3-2	-1.6	0	36	7-12
9	–	Payton Talbott	+0.49	1656	4-1	1.0	2	29	8-9
10	–	Raul Rosas Jr.	+0.49	1656	5-0	1.0	0	36	9-10

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	–	David Martinez	+0.46	1619	4-0	2.2	2	50	7-12
12	–	Brady Hiestand	+0.36	1634	4-1	0.0	0	36	12-15
13	–	Jose Aldo	+0.33	1642	2-3	1.6	10 E	540	13-14
14	–	Aiemann Zahabi	+0.30	1585	4-1	1.5	1	140	14-17
15	▲1	Raoni Barcelos	+0.29	1612	4-1	0.0	0	36	11-15
16	▲1	Vinicius Oliveira	+0.29	1612	4-1	0.0	0	134	15-16
17	▲1	Bryce Mitchell	+0.25	1621	3-2	-1.0	1	148	16-18
18	▲1	Elijah Smith (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.22	1587	3-0	0.0	0	232	17-18
19	▲2	Cody Haddon (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.20	1580	2-0	0.0	0	155	19-22
20	▲2	Davey Grant	+0.18	1593	3-2	-0.8	0	190	19-21
21	▲2	Rob Font	+0.16	1630	2-3	-0.6	4 E	239	21-22
22	▲2	Ethyn Ewing (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.16	1568	2-0	0.0	0	211	20-25
23	▲2	Chris Gutierrez	+0.15	1600	3-2	-1.7	0	393	20-27
24	▲2	Adrian Yanez	+0.12	1621	2-3	-0.8	0	113	23-30
25	▲2	Jakub Wiklacz (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.11	1551	2-0	0.0	0	267	23-30
26	▲2	Juan Diaz (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.11	1550	1-0	0.0	0	169	24-31
27	▲2	Aleksandre Topuria (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.09	1546	2-0	0.0	0	344	25-32
28	▲2	Hector Santiago (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.09	1546	1-0	0.0	0	64	26-33
29	▲2	Charles Jourdain	+0.08	1598	3-2	-2.8	0	43	24-37
30	▲4	Abdul Hussein (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.07	1537	1-0	0.0	0	99	28-36

Featherweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Alexander Volkanovski	+1.77	1853	3-2	9.9	12 E	8
1	–	Aljamain Sterling	+1.55	1805	3-2	8.8	12 E	190	1-1
2	–	Diego Lopes	+0.77	1706	3-2	2.5	3 E	140	2-2
3	–	Jean Silva	+0.67	1716	4-1	0.8	1	50	3-6
4	–	Movsar Evloev	+0.86	1674	4-1	4.8	4 E	8	4-4
5	–	Steve Garcia	+0.66	1693	4-1	1.5	0	140	3-5
6	–	Lerone Murphy	+0.64	1674	4-1	2.0	1	225	5-6
7	–	Kevin Vallejos	+0.52	1657	4-0	1.0	0	232	7-7
8	–	Youssef Zalal	+0.50	1649	4-1	1.0	2	190	8-10
9	–	Arnold Allen	+0.49	1694	2-3	1.2	3 E	169	8-9
10	–	Pat Sabatini	+0.36	1655	4-1	-1.0	0	176	10-11

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Days since	Weight band
11	–	Joanderson Brito	+0.40	1683	3-2	-1.6	43	10-12
12	▲1	Luke Riley (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.33	1616	3-0	0.0	113	10-12
13	▲1	Mairon Santos	+0.30	1608	4-0	0.0	330	13-14
14	▲1	Tommy McMillen (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.28	1601	3-0	0.0	50	14-15
15	▲1	Chepe Mariscal	+0.27	1617	4-1	-0.8	351	13-15
16	▲1	Nathaniel Wood	+0.23	1606	4-1	-0.8	57	16-18
17	▲1	Felipe Lima	+0.23	1609	3-1	-1.0	57	16-20
18	▲1	Marcio Barbosa (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.23	1582	2-0	0.0	71	16-20
19	▲1	Jamall Emmers	+0.22	1607	4-1	-1.0	71	18-21
20	▲1	David Onama	+0.20	1588	4-1	-0.5	365	19-21
21	▲1	Yadier del Valle	+0.19	1591	3-1	-0.8	85	19-22
22	▲1	Melquizael Costa	+0.17	1588	4-1	-1.0	169	22-26
23	▲1	Dooho Choi	+0.16	1584	3-2	-1.0	43	23-28
24	▲1	Daniel Santos	+0.14	1580	4-1	-1.0	8	24-29
25	▲1	Pavel Andrusca (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.14	1544	1-0	0.2	57	17-27
26	▲1	Sean Woodson	+0.12	1566	4-1	-0.8	64	25-30
27	▲3	Keiichiro Nakamura (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.12	1545	1-0	0.0	274	23-29
28	–	Sean King III (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.12	1545	1-0	0.0	50	25-31
29	–	Rodrigo Vera (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.12	1545	1-0	0.0	155	24-30
30	▲1	Murtazali Magomedov (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.11	1542	1-0	0.0	134	27-32

Lightweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Justin Gaethje	+1.28	1740	4-1	8.3	10 E	140
1	–	Charles Oliveira	+1.53	1860	3-2	7.1	12 E	239	1-1
2	–	Max Holloway	+1.59	1872	3-2	7.4	15 E	113	2-2
3	–	Ilia Topuria	+1.29	1792	4-1	6.5	5 E	140	3-3
4	–	Arman Tsarukyan	+1.16	1780	5-0	5.3	4 E	43	4-4
5	–	Paddy Pimblett	+0.76	1720	4-1	2.2	2	113	5-5
6	▲1	Benoit Saint Denis	+0.65	1702	4-1	1.5	2	113	6-7
7	▲1	Quillan Salkilld	+0.64	1693	5-0	1.8	1	85	6-8
8	▲1	Grant Dawson	+0.60	1737	4-1	-0.4	0	8	6-8
9	▲1	Mateusz Gamrot	+0.46	1708	2-3	0.8	2 E	85	9-9
10	▲1	Jim Miller	+0.37	1679	3-2	-1.3	1	176	10-13

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	▲1	Chris Padilla	+0.34	1627	5-0	0.2	0	71	10-13
12	▲1	Mauricio Ruffy	+0.25	1612	3-2	-0.2	1	43	11-17
13	▲1	Rafael Fiziev	+0.28	1634	2-3	1.3	1	127	12-18
14	▲12	Tom Nolan	+0.28	1615	5-0	0.0	0	1	13-14
15	–	Jalin Turner	+0.28	1640	3-2	-0.9	0	78	12-16
16	▼10	Renato Moicano	+0.25	1655	2-3	0.0	3 E	1	15-17
17	▼1	Esteban Ribovics	+0.17	1617	3-2	-1.5	0	29	18-23
18	▼1	King Green	+0.24	1666	4-1	-2.4	2	29	10-23
19	▼1	Tommy Gantt (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.24	1593	2-0	0.2	0	50	15-23
20	▼1	MarQuel Mederos	+0.22	1594	4-0	0.0	0	71	18-24
21	▼1	Alexander Hernandez	+0.22	1617	4-1	-0.9	0	29	18-21
22	▼1	Ignacio Bahamondes	+0.22	1626	3-2	-1.2	0	50	16-22
23	▼1	Manuel Torres	+0.18	1613	3-2	-1.2	0	127	22-25
24	▼1	Axel Sola	+0.16	1594	3-1	-0.8	0	57	24-25
25	▼1	Diego Ferreira	+0.16	1620	3-2	-1.8	0	85	21-28
26	▼1	Salahdine Parnasse (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.15	1541	1-0	1.0	1	57	19-31
27	–	Nurullo Aliev	+0.11	1582	4-1	-1.0	0	8	27-29
28	–	Rafa Garcia	+0.11	1590	3-2	-1.4	0	50	27-31
29	–	Chase Hooper	+0.10	1600	3-2	-1.8	0	106	26-33
30	–	Manoel Sousa (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.09	1547	2-0	0.0	0	85	26-32

Welterweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Islam Makhachev	+1.49	1883	5-0	10.1	8 E	78
1	–	Michael Morales	+0.65	1708	5-0	3.2	2	351	1-1
2	–	Sean Brady	+0.75	1736	4-1	3.8	4 E	176	2-2
3	–	Carlos Prates	+0.74	1739	4-1	3.2	2	183	3-3
4	–	Ian Machado Garry	+0.73	1729	3-2	3.6	2 E	78	4-4
5	–	Jack Della Maddalena	+0.51	1665	3-2	3.0	2	183	5-5
6	–	Gabriel Bonfim	+0.48	1682	5-0	1.2	1	148	6-6
7	–	Belal Muhammad	+0.53	1710	2-3	3.7	6 E	148	7-7
8	–	Leon Edwards	+0.50	1705	2-3	3.5	4 E	351	8-8
9	–	Mike Malott	+0.44	1672	5-0	1.0	1	15	9-10
10	▲2	Jacobe Smith	+0.42	1679	5-0	0.2	0	1	9-10

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	▼1	Kamaru Usman	+0.40	1812	1-4	4.2	9 E	106	11-11
12	▼1	Daniil Donchenko	+0.33	1649	4-0	0.2	0	57	12-12
13	–	Rinat Fakhretdinov	+0.29	1630	5-0	0.4	0	421	13-15
14	–	Yaroslav Amosov (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.23	1609	2-0	0.5	0	176	13-22
15	–	Neil Magny	+0.28	1651	3-2	-0.9	3 E	78	13-15
16	–	Uros Medic	+0.25	1631	4-1	-0.5	0	92	15-17
17	–	Daniel Rodriguez	+0.26	1635	3-2	-0.5	0	92	16-18
18	–	Jeremiah Wells	+0.25	1638	3-2	-0.8	0	78	16-18
19	–	Myktybek Orolbai	+0.20	1637	3-2	-1.8	0	78	19-22
20	–	Sam Patterson	+0.22	1628	4-1	-0.8	0	99	19-21
21	–	Jake Matthews	+0.20	1640	4-1	-1.9	0	155	20-23
22	▲1	Joel Alvarez	+0.20	1626	3-2	-1.2	0	78	20-23
23	▲1	Kevin Holland	+0.19	1659	3-2	-3.2	0	204	14-27
24	▼2	Joaquin Buckley	+0.19	1661	2-3	-0.4	2	15	22-24
25	▲2	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.12	1579	3-0	0.0	0	1	24-25
26	▼1	Ty Miller (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.11	1576	2-0	0.0	0	85	25-26
27	▼1	Jonathan Micallef (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.10	1573	3-0	0.0	0	183	26-28
28	–	Seokhyeon Ko (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.08	1583	2-1	-1.0	0	106	27-28
29	▲1	Levan Chokheli (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.02	1545	1-0	0.0	0	134	29-30
30	▼1	Tahir Abdullayev (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.02	1545	1-0	0.0	0	127	30-31

Middleweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Sean Strickland	+1.00	1753	3-2	6.3	6 E	176
1	–	Khamzat Chimaev	+0.98	1759	4-1	5.6	4 E	176	1-1
2	–	Dricus Du Plessis	+1.17	1783	4-1	7.7	7 E	106	2-2
3	–	Brendan Allen	+0.91	1753	4-1	4.7	3 E	22	3-4
4	–	Nassourdine Imavov	+0.90	1715	5-0	6.3	5 E	421	3-4
5	–	Robert Whittaker	+0.75	1723	3-2	3.4	10 E	113	5-5
6	–	Joe Pyfer	+0.59	1716	4-1	0.9	1	218	6-6
7	–	Gregory Rodrigues	+0.57	1709	4-1	1.0	1	71	7-7
8	–	Anthony Hernandez	+0.56	1694	3-2	1.5	2	71	8-8
9	–	Caio Borralho	+0.51	1665	4-1	2.0	2	239	9-10
10	–	Christian Leroy Duncan	+0.50	1677	4-1	1.2	1	22	9-10

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	–	Yousri Belgaroui (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.30	1632	3-0	0.0	0	50	11-12
12	–	Ikram Aliskerov	+0.28	1638	4-1	-0.6	0	127	12-13
13	–	Michael Page	+0.28	1602	4-1	1.0	1	57	11-16
14	–	Bo Nickal	+0.27	1636	4-1	-0.8	0	140	13-16
15	–	Baisangur Susurkaev (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.25	1615	3-0	0.0	0	176	14-16
16	–	Damian Pinas (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.24	1610	3-0	0.0	0	29	15-18
17	–	Abus Magomedov	+0.24	1631	4-1	-1.0	0	8	14-18
18	–	Edmen Shahbazyan	+0.24	1612	4-1	-0.1	0	43	17-18
19	–	Shara Magomedov	+0.22	1617	4-1	-0.8	0	127	19-21
20	–	Ryan Gandra (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.19	1592	3-0	0.0	0	43	20-23
21	–	Ismail Naurdiev	+0.18	1603	3-2	-0.7	0	29	21-22
22	–	Ateba Gautier	+0.18	1608	4-1	-1.0	0	29	21-23
23	–	Jacob Malkoun	+0.16	1601	3-2	-1.0	0	8	23-25
24	–	Donte Johnson (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.13	1568	3-0	0.0	0	78	24-29
25	▲1	Israel Adesanya	+0.12	1675	1-4	5.2	10 E	218	19-33
26	▼1	Cam Rowston	+0.12	1581	3-1	-0.8	0	8	25-28
27	–	Nursulton Ruziboev	+0.10	1600	3-2	-2.0	0	57	25-32
28	–	Roman Dolidze	+0.09	1630	2-3	-0.9	3	71	27-31
29	▲3	Nick Galanti (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.07	1548	1-0	0.0	0	15	27-31
30	▼1	Roman Kopylov	+0.07	1611	3-2	-3.0	0	29	20-36

Light Heavyweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Carlos Ulberg	+0.80	1712	5-0	5.5	4 E	204
1	–	Magomed Ankalaev	+0.95	1739	4-1	6.9	8 E	99	1-1
2	–	Paulo Costa	+0.71	1726	3-2	2.8	3	204	2-2
3	–	Dominick Reyes	+0.59	1682	4-1	2.9	5 E	8	3-3
4	–	Jiri Prochazka	+0.80	1730	3-2	4.5	6 E	204	4-4
5	–	Navajo Stirling	+0.49	1673	5-0	1.5	1	92	5-6
6	–	Volkan Oezdemir	+0.45	1637	3-2	2.8	7 E	344	5-6
7	–	Bogdan Guskov	+0.42	1641	4-1	2.0	1	99	7-8
8	–	Khalil Rountree Jr.	+0.39	1611	3-2	3.1	2	393	7-10
9	–	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	+0.36	1646	4-0	0.5	0	8	8-9
10	–	Azamat Murzakanov	+0.33	1647	3-2	-0.2	1	8	9-11

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	–	Reinier de Ridder	+0.32	1632	3-2	0.5	1	71	10-11
12	–	Johnny Walker	+0.19	1659	2-3	-0.6	2 E	29	12-12
13	–	Alonzo Menifield	+0.04	1580	4-1	-2.1	0	43	13-23
14	–	Iwo Baraniewski	+0.13	1590	3-1	-1.0	0	43	14-14
15	–	Muhammad Saidov (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.11	1561	1-0	0.2	0	99	13-15
16	–	Billy Elekana	+0.05	1562	3-1	-1.0	0	274	16-18
17	–	Lucas Fernando (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.03	1540	1-0	0.0	0	78	15-20
18	–	Liu Ce (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.03	1539	1-0	0.0	0	64	16-21
19	–	Dustin Jacoby	+0.03	1592	3-2	-3.0	0	99	16-25
20	–	Modestas Bukauskas	-0.04	1552	4-1	-2.0	0	57	18-25
21	–	Christian Edwards (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.02	1554	1-1	-1.0	0	36	18-22
22	–	Luis Hernandez (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.02	1535	1-0	0.0	0	36	17-24
23	–	Jamahal Hill	+0.01	1576	2-3	0.5	3 E	498	19-23
24	–	Jimmy Crute	+0.01	1582	2-3	0.1	0	400	21-24
25	–	Zhang Mingyang	-0.03	1546	3-2	-1.5	0	155	24-25
26	–	Jan Blachowicz	-0.06	1685	1-4	1.8	7 E	92	26-27
27	–	Magomed Tuchalov (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.07	1503	1-0	0.0	0	99	24-27
28	–	Uran Satybaldiev (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.11	1508	1-1	-1.0	0	435	28-28
29	–	Ion Cutelaba	-0.16	1524	3-2	-2.9	0	134	28-31
30	–	Rodolfo Bellato	-0.17	1505	2-2	-2.0	0	36	29-30

Heavyweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Ciryl Gane	+1.15	1812	4-1	6.2	8 E	140
R		Tom Aspinall (injury) (vacated, owed a title shot)	+0.91	1754	4-1	4.4	4 E	372
1	–	Alexander Volkov	+1.20	1787	4-1	8.9	11 E	8	1-1
2	–	Josh Hokit	+0.55	1660	4-0	2.5	2	140	2-2
3	–	Curtis Blaydes	+0.85	1730	3-2	4.7	12 E	50	3-3
4	–	Alex Pereira	+1.23	1788	3-2	9.5	8 E	140	4-4
5	–	Waldo Cortes Acosta	+0.74	1709	3-2	3.5	3	50	5-5
6	–	Sergei Pavlovich	+0.71	1690	3-2	3.9	6 E	155	6-6
7	–	Valter Walker	+0.39	1645	5-0	-0.2	0	99	7-8
8	–	Mario Pinto	+0.36	1629	4-0	0.2	0	57	8-10
9	–	Derrick Lewis	+0.36	1624	2-3	3.9	9 E	140	7-11
10	–	Brando Pericic (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.36	1622	3-0	0.5	0	183	9-10

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	–	Rizvan Kuniev	+0.33	1596	2-2	1.5	2	8	9-12
12	–	Vitor Petrino	+0.29	1623	4-1	-1.0	1	71	10-12
13	–	Anthony Wint (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.23	1584	2-0	0.0	0	29	13-13
14	–	Gokhan Saricam (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.15	1557	1-0	0.0	0	197	14-14
15	▲1	Joel Faglier (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.14	1554	1-0	0.0	0	15	15-15
16	▼1	Jovan Leka (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.12	1545	1-0	0.0	0	92	16-16
17	–	Jose Montanha (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.11	1542	1-0	0.0	0	85	17-18
18	–	Steven Asplund (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.07	1543	2-1	-1.0	0	85	18-20
19	–	Mick Parkin	+0.07	1558	3-2	-2.0	0	29	17-20
20	–	Ryan Spann	+0.05	1551	3-2	-1.9	1	57	19-21
21	–	Tanner Boser	+0.04	1584	2-3	-0.9	0	15	21-22
22	–	Serghei Spivac	+0.03	1565	2-3	0.2	3 E	71	19-24
23	–	Shamil Gaziev	+0.01	1549	3-2	-2.8	0	71	22-29
24	▲7	Tyrell Fortune (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.06	1482	1-1	0.0	1	99	24-33
25	▼1	Marcin Tybura	+0.00	1575	2-3	-1.1	3 E	92	23-25
26	▼1	Hamdy Abdelwahab	-0.00	1518	2-2	-1.0	0	372	23-25
27	▼1	Allen Frye Jr. (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.04	1507	1-1	-1.0	0	22	26-27
28	▼1	Ante Delija (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	-0.04	1506	1-2	-1.0	1	253	27-28
29	▼1	RJ Harris (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.04	1505	1-1	-1.0	0	22	28-29
30	▼1	Martin Buday	-0.05	1498	4-1	-0.8	0	463	29-30

Women's Strawweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Mackenzie Dern	+0.75	1651	4-1	7.0	6 E	78
1	–	Zhang Weili	+0.93	1730	4-1	5.6	7 E	351	1-1
2	–	Tatiana Suarez	+0.79	1720	4-1	3.4	6 E	204	2-3
3	–	Virna Jandiroba	+0.77	1669	4-1	6.3	5 E	211	2-3
4	–	Gillian Robertson	+0.51	1650	4-1	2.5	2	78	4-4
5	–	Iasmin Lucindo	+0.45	1631	4-1	2.5	1	8	5-5
6	–	Loopy Godinez	+0.42	1614	3-2	2.8	2	22	6-8
7	–	Fatima Kline	+0.40	1645	4-1	0.5	1	106	6-9
8	–	Denise Gomes	+0.38	1629	5-0	1.2	1	64	7-8
9	–	Alexia Thainara	+0.37	1622	4-0	1.5	1	85	8-9
10	–	Jaqueline Amorim	+0.23	1618	4-1	-1.0	0	155	10-11

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	–	Jessica Andrade	+0.19	1579	2-3	3.6	12 E	442	10-15
12	–	Stephanie Luciano	+0.18	1602	3-1	-1.0	0	92	11-12
13	▲3	Piera Rodriguez	+0.13	1586	4-1	-1.0	0	1	12-14
14	▼1	Shanelle Dyer (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.12	1567	2-0	0.0	0	71	13-15
15	▼1	Tecia Pennington	+0.11	1616	2-3	-0.4	1	358	13-15
16	▼1	Yan Xiaonan	+0.06	1589	2-3	0.4	4 E	64	16-18
17	▲1	Delphine Benouaich (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.05	1545	1-0	0.0	0	57	16-19
18	▼1	Tina Black (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.05	1545	1-0	0.0	0	36	17-20
19	–	Alice Ardelean	+0.02	1567	3-2	-2.0	0	169	17-22
20	–	Tabatha Ricci	+0.01	1581	2-3	-0.1	2	106	19-22
21	–	Talita Alencar	-0.11	1527	3-2	-2.0	0	1	20-26
22	–	Julia Polastri	-0.00	1576	3-2	-3.0	0	64	16-25
23	–	Mizuki	-0.04	1518	3-1	0.0	0	372	20-24
24	–	Carol Foro (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.04	1516	1-0	0.0	0	85	21-25
25	–	Yazmin Jauregui	-0.05	1529	3-2	-1.0	0	36	22-25
26	–	Angela Hill	-0.08	1574	2-3	-1.6	1	155	22-26
27	–	Sam Hughes	-0.15	1513	3-2	-2.0	0	232	27-28
28	–	Shi Ming (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.17	1493	1-1	-1.0	0	435	27-30
29	–	Loma Lookboonmee	-0.19	1501	3-2	-2.0	0	155	29-30
30	–	Gigi Canuto (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.20	1484	0-1	-1.0	0	85	29-31

Women's Flyweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Natalia Silva	+0.76	1697	5-0	5.8	5 E	29
R		Valentina Shevchenko (injury) (vacated, owed a title shot)	+1.15	1769	4-1	9.8	14 E	351
1	–	Alexa Grasso	+0.57	1652	3-2	4.4	8 E	50	1-1
2	–	Manon Fiorot	+0.80	1711	3-2	5.7	5 E	50	2-2
3	–	Rose Namajunas	+0.78	1702	3-2	6.0	9 E	281	3-3
4	–	Jasmine Jasudavicius	+0.48	1624	4-1	4.3	4 E	15	4-4
5	–	Erin Blanchfield	+0.65	1708	3-2	2.6	4 E	15	5-5
6	–	Maycee Barber	+0.49	1643	4-1	3.3	4 E	218	6-6
7	–	Katlyn Cerminara	+0.37	1605	3-2	3.0	8 E	15	7-8
8	–	Casey O'Neill	+0.34	1634	3-2	0.3	0	43	7-9
9	–	Wang Cong	+0.31	1606	4-1	1.5	1	29	8-9
10	–	Carli Judice	+0.21	1609	4-1	-1.0	0	71	10-10

Show 11 to 30

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	–	Miranda Maverick	+0.14	1577	4-1	-0.3	0	505	11-11
12	–	Dione Barbosa	+0.09	1583	3-2	-2.0	0	106	12-14
13	–	Regina Tarin (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	+0.04	1532	2-0	0.5	0	50	12-14
14	new	Lucia Szabova (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	+0.04	1539	1-0	0.0	0	1	13-17
15	▼1	Tracy Cortez	+0.02	1589	2-3	-0.5	1	113	15-16
16	▼1	JJ Aldrich	-0.07	1530	3-2	-2.0	0	50	14-17
17	▼1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	-0.00	1567	3-2	-3.0	0	197	15-18
18	▼1	Melissa Gatto	-0.01	1585	2-3	-1.0	0	22	16-18
19	▼1	Karine Silva	-0.04	1583	2-3	-1.5	0	197	19-20
20	▼1	Lauren Murphy	-0.09	1534	2-3	0.8	5 E	477	19-20
21	▲1	Ernesta Kareckaite	-0.16	1501	1-2	-2.0	0	22	21-25
22	▼2	Veronica Hardy	-0.16	1482	4-1	-0.8	0	393	21-22
23	▼2	Luana Carolina	-0.16	1484	3-2	-1.0	0	400	22-23
24	▲1	Mackenzie Stiller (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.17	1483	0-1	-1.0	0	15	23-24
25	▼2	Viviane Araujo	-0.18	1506	2-3	0.6	4 E	491	22-25
26	▼2	Gabriella Fernandes	-0.19	1473	3-2	-1.0	0	218	25-26
27	▼1	Jeisla Chaves (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.22	1464	1-1	-1.0	0	71	27-27
28	▼1	Anna Melisano (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.23	1462	0-1	-1.0	0	106	28-28
29	▼1	Tereza Bleda (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	-0.23	1460	1-2	-1.0	0	323	29-30
30	▼1	Yuneisy Duben (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.25	1468	0-2	-2.0	0	148	29-30

Women's Bantamweight

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
C		Kayla Harrison (provisional, 3 UFC bouts) (injury)	+0.54	1643	3-0	5.0	3	512
1	–	Joselyne Edwards	+0.28	1620	5-0	1.5	1	190	1-1
2	–	Ailin Perez	+0.32	1606	5-0	3.5	3	36	2-2
3	–	Norma Dumont	+0.34	1612	3-2	3.4	4 E	36	3-3
4	▲2	Luana Santos	+0.26	1623	4-1	1.0	2	1	4-5
5	–	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	+0.24	1605	4-1	2.0	1	169	4-5
6	▲2	Bia Mesquita (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	+0.19	1616	3-0	0.0	0	134	6-8
7	–	Yana Santos	+0.18	1583	3-2	2.4	3 E	1	7-7
8	▲1	Julianna Pena	+0.18	1577	3-2	2.8	5 E	512	6-9
9	▲1	Macy Chiasson	+0.13	1621	2-3	1.4	3	246	8-9
10	▲1	Alice Pereira (provisional, 3 UFC bouts)	-0.01	1569	2-1	-0.5	0	22	10-11

Show 11 to 23

#	Move	Fighter	Score	Rating	Last 5	Ledger	Top-10 wins	Days since	Weight band
11	▲1	Michelle Montague (provisional, 2 UFC bouts)	-0.03	1545	2-0	1.0	0	190	10-12
12	▲1	Karol Rosa	-0.06	1585	2-3	0.4	1	134	11-12
13	▲1	Nina Milosevic (provisional, 1 UFC bout)	-0.12	1534	1-0	0.0	0	92	13-13
14	▲1	Chelsea Chandler	-0.23	1516	3-2	-1.0	0	15	14-15
15	▲1	Nora Cornolle	-0.28	1562	2-3	-2.5	0	57	14-16
16	▲1	Melissa Croden	-0.29	1515	2-2	-2.0	0	15	15-16
17	▲2	Klaudia Sygula	-0.36	1494	2-2	-2.0	0	57	17-17
18	▲2	Montse Rendon	-0.46	1470	2-2	-2.0	0	232	18-18
19	▲3	Irina Alekseeva	-0.62	1428	1-3	-2.0	0	386	19-19
20	▲3	Melissa Mullins	-0.71	1456	2-3	-3.0	0	134	20-20
21	▲3	Daria Zhelezniakova	-0.73	1450	2-3	-3.0	0	22	21-21
22	▼1	Tainara Lisboa	-0.86	1416	2-3	-3.0	0	1	22-22
23	▲4	Priscila Cachoeira	-1.35	1419	1-4	-4.0	0	148	23-23

Side by side: our board and the public boards

Top 15 contenders per division. Grey tag = our position for that fighter ("other div" if we rank him in another division, "-" if not on our board). Sherdog ranks every promotion and lists champions inside its top 10. Board dates: UFC media panel 2026-10-24; Meta UFC Rankings 2026-10-24; Sherdog 2026-09-14.

Flyweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Joshua Van	Joshua Van (C)	Joshua Van (C)
1	Manel Kape	Alexandre Pantoja (#4)	Manel Kape (#1)	Joshua Van (C)
2	Kyoji Horiguchi	Manel Kape (#1)	Alexandre Pantoja (#4)	Alexandre Pantoja (#4)
3	Brandon Royval	Brandon Royval (#3)	Brandon Royval (#3)	Manel Kape (#1)
4	Alexandre Pantoja	Tatsuro Taira (#5)	Tatsuro Taira (#5)	Brandon Royval (#3)
5	Tatsuro Taira	Kyoji Horiguchi (#2)	Lone’er Kavanagh (#26)	Tatsuro Taira (#5)
6	Brandon Moreno	Lone’er Kavanagh (#26)	Asu Almabayev (#7)	Kyoji Horiguchi (#2)
7	Asu Almabayev	Asu Almabayev (#7)	Kyoji Horiguchi (#2)	Lone'er Kavanagh (#26)
8	Kai Kara-France	Brandon Moreno (#6)	Amir Albazi (#9)	Brandon Moreno (#6)
9	Amir Albazi	Amir Albazi (#9)	Brandon Moreno (#6)	Ramazonbek Temirov (#15)
10	Tim Elliott	Ramazan Temirov (#15)	Ramazan Temirov (#15)	Amir Albazi (#9)
11	Tagir Ulanbekov	Tim Elliott (#10)	Sumudaerji (#20)
12	Imanol Rodriguez	Steve Erceg (#30)	Mitch Raposo (#32)
13	Andre Lima	Sumudaerji (#20)	Imanol Rodriguez (#12)
14	Bilal Hasan	Tagir Ulanbekov (#11)	Rei Tsuruya (#16)
15	Ramazan Temirov	Alex Perez (#22)	Charles Johnson (#28)

Bantamweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Petr Yan	Petr Yan (C)	Petr Yan (C)
1	Sean O'Malley	Merab Dvalishvili (#4)	Merab Dvalishvili (#4)	Petr Yan (C)
2	Song Yadong	Sean O'Malley (#1)	Song Yadong (#2)	Merab Dvalishvili (#4)
3	Umar Nurmagomedov	Song Yadong (#2)	Sean O'Malley (#1)	Sean O'Malley (#1)
4	Merab Dvalishvili	Umar Nurmagomedov (#3)	Mario Bautista (#5)	Yadong Song (#2)
5	Mario Bautista	Mario Bautista (#5)	Umar Nurmagomedov (#3)	Umar Nurmagomedov (#3)
6	Cory Sandhagen	Cory Sandhagen (#6)	Cory Sandhagen (#6)	Mario Bautista (#5)
7	Marcus McGhee	Payton Talbott (#9)	David Martinez (#11)	Cory Sandhagen (#6)
8	Montel Jackson	David Martinez (#11)	Raul Rosas Jr. (#10)	David Martinez (#11)
9	Payton Talbott	Aiemann Zahabi (#14)	Marcus McGhee (#7)	Deiveson Figueiredo (#49)
10	Raul Rosas Jr.	Raul Rosas Jr. (#10)	Payton Talbott (#9)	Mitchell McKee (-)
11	David Martinez	Marlon Vera (#55)	Montel Jackson (#8)
12	Brady Hiestand	Deiveson Figueiredo (#49)	Aiemann Zahabi (#14)
13	Jose Aldo	Marcus McGhee (#7)	Bryce Mitchell (#17)
14	Aiemann Zahabi	Raoni Barcelos (#15)	Marlon Vera (#55)
15	Raoni Barcelos	Bryce Mitchell (#17)	Raoni Barcelos (#15)

Featherweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Alexander Volkanovski	Alexander Volkanovski (C)	Alexander Volkanovski (C)
1	Aljamain Sterling	Movsar Evloev (#4)	Movsar Evloev (#4)	Alexander Volkanovski (C)
2	Diego Lopes	Diego Lopes (#2)	Diego Lopes (#2)	Movsar Evloev (#4)
3	Jean Silva	Lerone Murphy (#6)	Lerone Murphy (#6)	Diego Lopes (#2)
4	Movsar Evloev	Aljamain Sterling (#1)	Aljamain Sterling (#1)	Rajabali Shaidullaev (-)
5	Steve Garcia	Jean Silva (#3)	Jean Silva (#3)	Jean Silva (#3)
6	Lerone Murphy	Yair Rodriguez (-)	Arnold Allen (#9)	Lerone Murphy (#6)
7	Kevin Vallejos	Arnold Allen (#9)	Pat Sabatini (#10)	Arnold Allen (#9)
8	Youssef Zalal	Youssef Zalal (#8)	Pavel Andrusca (#25)	Aljamain Sterling (#1)
9	Arnold Allen	Kevin Vallejos (#7)	Youssef Zalal (#8)	Youssef Zalal (#8)
10	Pat Sabatini	Steve Garcia (#5)	Aaron Pico (#36)	Steve Garcia (#5)
11	Joanderson Brito	Aaron Pico (#36)	Kevin Vallejos (#7)
12	Luke Riley	Melquizael Costa (#22)	Joanderson Brito (#11)
13	Mairon Santos	Brian Ortega (#39)	Melquizael Costa (#22)
14	Tommy McMillen	Patricio Pitbull (#51)	Steve Garcia (#5)
15	Chepe Mariscal	David Onama (#20)	Jamall Emmers (#19)

Lightweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Justin Gaethje	Justin Gaethje (C)	Justin Gaethje (C)
1	Charles Oliveira	Ilia Topuria (#3)	Ilia Topuria (#3)	Justin Gaethje (C)
2	Max Holloway	Arman Tsarukyan (#4)	Arman Tsarukyan (#4)	Ilia Topuria (#3)
3	Ilia Topuria	Charles Oliveira (#1)	Charles Oliveira (#1)	Arman Tsarukyan (#4)
4	Arman Tsarukyan	Max Holloway (#2)	Max Holloway (#2)	Charles Oliveira (#1)
5	Paddy Pimblett	Paddy Pimblett (#5)	Paddy Pimblett (#5)	Max Holloway (#2)
6	Benoit Saint Denis	Benoît Saint Denis (#6)	Quillan Salkilld (#7)	Paddy Pimblett (#5)
7	Quillan Salkilld	Quillan Salkilld (#7)	Benoît Saint Denis (#6)	Usman Nurmagomedov (-)
8	Grant Dawson	Mauricio Ruffy (#12)	Renato Moicano (#16)	Benoit St. Denis (#6)
9	Mateusz Gamrot	Salahdine Parnasse (#26)	Mateusz Gamrot (#9)	Mauricio Ruffy (#12)
10	Jim Miller	Mateusz Gamrot (#9)	Mauricio Ruffy (#12)	Salahdine Parnasse (#26)
11	Chris Padilla	Rafael Fiziev (#13)	Grant Dawson (#8)
12	Mauricio Ruffy	Renato Moicano (#16)	Tom Nolan (#14)
13	Rafael Fiziev	Dan Hooker (#39)	Tofiq Musayev (#33)
14	Tom Nolan	Tom Nolan (#14)	Rafael Fiziev (#13)
15	Jalin Turner	Beneil Dariush (#61)	Esteban Ribovics (#17)

Welterweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Islam Makhachev	Islam Makhachev (C)	Islam Makhachev (C)
1	Michael Morales	Ian Machado Garry (#4)	Carlos Prates (#3)	Islam Makhachev (C)
2	Sean Brady	Carlos Prates (#3)	Ian Machado Garry (#4)	Michael Morales (#1)
3	Carlos Prates	Michael Morales (#1)	Michael Morales (#1)	Ian Garry (#4)
4	Ian Machado Garry	Jack Della Maddalena (#5)	Jack Della Maddalena (#5)	Carlos Prates (#3)
5	Jack Della Maddalena	Gabriel Bonfim (#6)	Sean Brady (#2)	Sean Brady (#2)
6	Gabriel Bonfim	Sean Brady (#2)	Gabriel Bonfim (#6)	Jack Della Maddalena (#5)
7	Belal Muhammad	Belal Muhammad (#7)	Belal Muhammad (#7)	Ramazan Kuramagomedov (-)
8	Leon Edwards	Leon Edwards (#8)	Mike Malott (#9)	Gabriel Bonfim (#6)
9	Mike Malott	Kamaru Usman (#11)	Uroš Medić (#16)	Thad Jean (-)
10	Jacobe Smith	Mike Malott (#9)	Leon Edwards (#8)	Shamil Musaev (-)
11	Kamaru Usman	Yaroslav Amosov (#14)	Kamaru Usman (#11)
12	Daniil Donchenko	Joaquin Buckley (#24)	Joaquin Buckley (#24)
13	Rinat Fakhretdinov		Yaroslav Amosov (#14)
14	Yaroslav Amosov	Daniel Rodriguez (#17)	Kevin Holland (#23)
15	Neil Magny	Neil Magny (#15)	Daniel Rodriguez (#17)

Middleweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Sean Strickland	Sean Strickland (C)	Sean Strickland (C)
1	Khamzat Chimaev	Khamzat Chimaev (#1)	Khamzat Chimaev (#1)	Sean Strickland (C)
2	Dricus Du Plessis	Dricus Du Plessis (#2)	Dricus Du Plessis (#2)	Khamzat Chimaev (#1)
3	Brendan Allen	Nassourdine Imavov (#4)	Nassourdine Imavov (#4)	Dricus Du Plessis (#2)
4	Nassourdine Imavov	Brendan Allen (#3)	Brendan Allen (#3)	Nassourdine Imavov (#4)
5	Robert Whittaker	Caio Borralho (#9)	Joe Pyfer (#6)	Gregory Rodrigues (#7)
6	Joe Pyfer	Joe Pyfer (#6)	Caio Borralho (#9)	Anthony Hernandez (#8)
7	Gregory Rodrigues	Gregory Rodrigues (#7)	Gregory Rodrigues (#7)	Brendan Allen (#3)
8	Anthony Hernandez	Anthony Hernandez (#8)	Anthony Hernandez (#8)	Caio Borralho (#9)
9	Caio Borralho	Israel Adesanya (#25)	Abus Magomedov (#17)	Joe Pyfer (#6)
10	Christian Leroy Duncan	Christian Leroy Duncan (#10)	Israel Adesanya (#25)	Costello van Steenis (-)
11	Yousri Belgaroui	Jared Cannonier (#59)	Ikram Aliskerov (#12)
12	Ikram Aliskerov	Abus Magomedov (#17)	Christian Leroy Duncan (#10)
13	Michael Page	Ikram Aliskerov (#12)	Bo Nickal (#14)
14	Bo Nickal	Bo Nickal (#14)	Roman Kopylov (#30)
15	Baisangur Susurkaev	Shara Magomedov (#19)	Edmen Shahbazyan (#18)

Light Heavyweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Carlos Ulberg	Carlos Ulberg (C)	Carlos Ulberg (C)
1	Magomed Ankalaev	Magomed Ankalaev (#1)	Alex Pereira (other div)	Alex Pereira (other div)
2	Paulo Costa	Jiří Procházka (#4)	Magomed Ankalaev (#1)	Magomed Ankalaev (#1)
3	Dominick Reyes	Alex Pereira (other div)	Jiří Procházka (#4)	Carlos Ulberg (C)
4	Jiri Prochazka	Khalil Rountree Jr. (#8)	Dominick Reyes (#3)	Jiri Prochazka (#4)
5	Navajo Stirling	Navajo Stirling (#5)	Paulo Costa (#2)	Khalil Rountree (#8)
6	Volkan Oezdemir	Paulo Costa (#2)	Khalil Rountree Jr. (#8)	Paulo Costa (#2)
7	Bogdan Guskov	Azamat Murzakanov (#10)	Navajo Stirling (#5)	Azamat Murzakanov (#10)
8	Khalil Rountree Jr.	Dominick Reyes (#3)	Reinier de Ridder (#11)	Dominick Reyes (#3)
9	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	Jan Błachowicz (-)	Alonzo Menifield (#13)	Volkan Oezdemir (#6)
10	Azamat Murzakanov	Bogdan Guskov (#7)	Bogdan Guskov (#7)	Jamahal Hill (#23)
11	Reinier de Ridder	Robert Whittaker (other div)	Robert Whittaker (other div)
12	Johnny Walker	Alonzo Menifield (#13)	Muhammad Saidov (#15)
13	Alonzo Menifield	Muhammad Saidov (#15)	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (#9)
14	Iwo Baraniewski	Reinier de Ridder (#11)	Azamat Murzakanov (#10)
15	Muhammad Saidov	Nikita Krylov (#44)	Modestas Bukauskas (#20)

Heavyweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Ciryl Gane	Ciryl Gane (C)	Ciryl Gane (C)
1	Alexander Volkov	Tom Aspinall (#0)	Tom Aspinall (#0)	Ciryl Gane (C)
2	Josh Hokit	Alexander Volkov (#1)	Alexander Volkov (#1)	Tom Aspinall (#0)
3	Curtis Blaydes	Sergei Pavlovich (#6)	Alex Pereira (#4)	Francis Ngannou (-)
4	Alex Pereira	Josh Hokit (#2)	Sergei Pavlovich (#6)	Alexander Volkov (#1)
5	Waldo Cortes Acosta	Curtis Blaydes (#3)	Josh Hokit (#2)	Sergei Pavlovich (#6)
6	Sergei Pavlovich	Waldo Cortes Acosta (#5)	Curtis Blaydes (#3)	Josh Hokit (#2)
7	Valter Walker	Rizvan Kuniev (#11)	Rizvan Kuniev (#11)	Phil De Fries (-)
8	Mario Pinto	Vitor Petrino (#12)	Waldo Cortes Acosta (#5)	Curtis Blaydes (#3)
9	Derrick Lewis	Serghei Spivac (#22)	Vitor Petrino (#12)	Waldo Cortes-Acosta (#5)
10	Brando Pericic	Ante Delija (#28)	Mario Pinto (#8)	Vadim Nemkov (-)
11	Rizvan Kuniev	Valter Walker (#7)	Valter Walker (#7)
12	Vitor Petrino	Tyrell Fortune (#24)	Johnny Walker (other div)
13	Anthony Wint		Brando Peričić (#10)
14	Gokhan Saricam	Aleksandar Rakić (other div)	Serghei Spivac (#22)
15	Joel Faglier	Mario Pinto (#8)	Anthony Wint (#13)

Women's Strawweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Mackenzie Dern	Mackenzie Dern (C)	Mackenzie Dern (C)
1	Zhang Weili	Zhang Weili (#1)	Zhang Weili (#1)	Mackenzie Dern (C)
2	Tatiana Suarez	Tatiana Suarez (#2)	Virna Jandiroba (#3)	Virna Jandiroba (#3)
3	Virna Jandiroba	Virna Jandiroba (#3)	Tatiana Suarez (#2)	Tatiana Suarez (#2)
4	Gillian Robertson	Denise Gomes (#8)	Denise Gomes (#8)	Gillian Robertson (#4)
5	Iasmin Lucindo	Gillian Robertson (#4)	Gillian Robertson (#4)	Denise Gomes (#8)
6	Loopy Godinez	Yan Xiaonan (#16)	Fatima Kline (#7)	Xiaonan Yan (#16)
7	Fatima Kline	Fatima Kline (#7)	Iasmin Lucindo (#5)	Alexia Thainara (#9)
8	Denise Gomes	Loopy Godinez (#6)	Alexia Thainara (#9)	Fatima Kline (#7)
9	Alexia Thainara	Alexia Thainara (#9)	Loopy Godinez (#6)	Amanda Lemos (#33)
10	Jaqueline Amorim	Jéssica Andrade (#11)	Piera Rodriguez (#13)	Iasmin Lucindo (#5)
11	Jessica Andrade	Tabatha Ricci (#20)	Yan Xiaonan (#16)
12	Stephanie Luciano	Amanda Lemos (#33)	Mizuki (#23)
13	Piera Rodriguez	Amanda Ribas (#43)	Tabatha Ricci (#20)
14	Shanelle Dyer	Angela Hill (#26)	Talita Alencar (#21)
15	Tecia Pennington	Mizuki (#23)	Amanda Lemos (#33)

Women's Flyweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Natalia Silva	Natalia Silva (C)	Natalia Silva (C)
1	Alexa Grasso	Valentina Shevchenko (#0)	Valentina Shevchenko (#0)	Valentina Shevchenko (#0)
2	Manon Fiorot	Alexa Grasso (#1)	Alexa Grasso (#1)	Natalia Silva (C)
3	Rose Namajunas	Manon Fiorot (#2)	Jasmine Jasudavicius (#4)	Alexa Grasso (#1)
4	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Jasmine Jasudavicius (#4)	Manon Fiorot (#2)	Manon Fiorot (#2)
5	Erin Blanchfield	Erin Blanchfield (#5)	Erin Blanchfield (#5)	Erin Blanchfield (#5)
6	Maycee Barber	Rose Namajunas (#3)	Zhang Weili (other div)	Dakota Ditcheva (-)
7	Katlyn Cerminara	Maycee Barber (#6)	Rose Namajunas (#3)	Liz Carmouche (-)
8	Casey O'Neill	Wang Cong (#9)	Wang Cong (#9)	Maycee Barber (#6)
9	Wang Cong	Tracy Cortez (#15)	Maycee Barber (#6)	Jasmine Jasudavicius (#4)
10	Carli Judice	Miranda Maverick (#11)	Tracy Cortez (#15)	Sabrinna De Sousa (-)
11	Miranda Maverick	Karine Silva (#19)	Casey O'Neill (#8)
12	Dione Barbosa	Casey O'Neill (#8)	Miranda Maverick (#11)
13	Regina Tarin	Eduarda Moura (#32)	Regina Tarin (#13)
14	Lucia Szabova	Gabriella Fernandes (#26)	Karine Silva (#19)
15	Tracy Cortez	Regina Tarin (#13)	Carli Judice (#10)

Women's Bantamweight

#	Ours	UFC media panel	Meta UFC Rankings	Sherdog
C	Kayla Harrison	Kayla Harrison (C)	Kayla Harrison (C)
1	Joselyne Edwards	Julianna Peña (#8)	Joselyne Edwards (#1)	Kayla Harrison (C)
2	Ailin Perez	Joselyne Edwards (#1)	Ailin Perez (#2)	Julianna Pena (#8)
3	Norma Dumont	Ailin Perez (#2)	Norma Dumont (#3)	Ailin Perez (#2)
4	Luana Santos	Norma Dumont (#3)	Luana Santos (#4)	Joselyne Edwards (#1)
5	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	Raquel Pennington (-)	Julianna Peña (#8)	Yana Santos (#7)
6	Bia Mesquita	Yana Santos (#7)	Yana Santos (#7)	Norma Dumont (#3)
7	Yana Santos	Luana Santos (#4)	Jacqueline Cavalcanti (#5)	Ketlen Vieira (-)
8	Julianna Pena	Jacqueline Cavalcanti (#5)	Michelle Montague (#11)	Luana Santos (#4)
9	Macy Chiasson	Macy Chiasson (#9)	Chelsea Chandler (#14)	Beatriz Mesquita (#6)
10	Alice Pereira	Karol Rosa (#12)	Karol Rosa (#12)	Karol Rosa (#12)
11	Michelle Montague	Bia Mesquita (#6)	Bia Mesquita (#6)
12	Karol Rosa	Michelle Montague (#11)	Alice Pereira (#10)
13	Nina Milosevic	Nora Cornolle (#15)	Nora Cornolle (#15)
14	Chelsea Chandler	Chelsea Chandler (#14)	Macy Chiasson (#9)
15	Nora Cornolle	Alice Pereira (#10)	Melissa Croden (#16)

Card-quality index, 2022 to present

Top-10 bouts per card, numbered vs Fight Night

year	card_type	events	bouts_per_card	top10_bouts_per_card	nontitle_top10_bouts_per_card	top15_bouts_per_card	top10_per_10_bouts	nontitle_top10_per_10_bouts	share_cards_zero_top10	share_cards_zero_nontitle_top10	share_cards_zero_top15	ranked_share_of_slots
2022	Fight Night	29	12.00	0.69	0.69	1.10	0.55	0.55	0.45	0.45	0.24	0.18
2022	Numbered	13	12.54	2.23	1.15	2.85	1.78	0.91	0.08	0.39	0.00	0.32
2023	Fight Night	29	11.79	0.79	0.76	1.21	0.68	0.65	0.31	0.31	0.17	0.19
2023	Numbered	14	12.71	1.64	0.93	2.43	1.29	0.73	0.07	0.21	0.00	0.32
2024	Fight Night	28	12.18	0.57	0.57	1.21	0.47	0.47	0.61	0.61	0.21	0.19
2024	Numbered	14	12.57	2.07	1.36	3.00	1.63	1.04	0.21	0.36	0.00	0.37
2025	Fight Night	30	11.90	0.73	0.73	1.30	0.60	0.60	0.43	0.43	0.23	0.18
2025	Numbered	13	12.69	2.77	1.54	3.38	2.20	1.22	0.08	0.31	0.00	0.38
2026	Fight Night	28	12.61	0.82	0.79	1.50	0.71	0.66	0.39	0.39	0.07	0.21
2026	Numbered	10	12.70	2.20	1.10	2.90	1.76	0.89	0.00	0.30	0.00	0.33

Does the rating predict?

Backtest log loss by year and calibration

Table 1. Held-out prediction, 2020-2026. Parameters fixed by a 520-point grid on 2010-2019 (4,116 bouts); the selected specification was scored once on the held-out bouts.

Model	Bouts	Log loss	Change vs results-only (95% event-block bootstrap CI)	Brier	Accuracy	McNemar p
Results-only Elo	3,390	0.674		0.241	58.1%
Performance-adjusted Elo	3,390	0.663	-0.011 (-0.016 to -0.006)	0.235	60.6%	0.002
Results-only Elo	1,445*	0.675		0.241	57.8%
Performance-adjusted Elo	1,445*	0.669		0.238	60.0%
Closing betting market, de-vigged	1,445*	0.609		0.210	67.1%

*Held-out bouts with closing odds, 2020-01-18 to 2023-12-16. Log loss: coin flip 0.693; lower is better. Accuracy: share of bouts in which the fighter given more than 50% won. McNemar: exact test on the 773 bouts the two models call differently (429 fixed, 344 broken).

Full comparison (the interpretable site specification is a second model scored on the same window and is not the pre-registered result):

Model	Log loss, tune 2010-19	Log loss, test 2020-26	Brier, test	Accuracy, test
Coin flip	-	0.6931	-	50.0%
Classic Elo, untuned (K=32)	0.6849	0.6838	0.2454	56.5%
Classic Elo, tuned (results only)	0.6801	0.674	0.2406	58.1%
Performance-adjusted Elo, tuned	0.6639	0.6631	0.2352	60.6%
Performance-adjusted Elo, interpretable (win/finish floors)	0.6675	0.6621	0.2347	61.2%

Test bouts: 3,390. Tuning bouts: 4,116.

Same-bout comparison against the closing betting market (de-vigged), 3,499 bouts, 2014-11-07 to 2023-12-16:

Model	Log loss	Brier	Accuracy
Performance-adjusted Elo	0.6683	0.2376	59.6%
Betting market	0.6159	0.2139	65.2%
50/50 blend	0.6319	0.2205	64.9%

Separate from the method: the curator's personal top ten, a fan list that plays no part in any board above.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.