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Michelle Montague

Women's Bantamweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #11; v1.1 (shadow) #10

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 10-12: the 10th to 90th percentile of her position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,545, deviation 215: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 32 (born 1993-11-25) · Height 5 ft 9 in (175 cm) · Reach 68 in (173 cm) · Stance Southpaw · 190 days since last bout (2026-04-25) · Last five 2-0 · Streak W2

Why she is ranked here

Rating 1,545 is the division's 14th highest of 24 board fighters; the ledger stands at +1.0 (+1.0 from quality wins; losses count for three years); 2 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (2-0 last five). Score -0.03 = -0.08 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.05 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put her at #11.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.0370% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.08resume rating 1,545, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.05quality ledger +1.0: +1.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 2-0
Quality wins, 15 years20 over top-10 opponents, 2 over top-15
Placementscore order #11v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#10score -0.03; score order #10

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 2 UFC bouts

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2026-04-25UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. ZalalMayra Bueno Silva#12Wunanimous decision3 (5:00)60%
2025-09-27UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesLuana Carolina#15Wunanimous decision3 (5:00)41%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for her (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 24 board fighters at Women's Bantamweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute2.77(17th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Significant strike accuracy49%(54th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(46th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Share of wins by finish0%(33rd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute2.47(33rd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Significant strike defence42%(8th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(58th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career74(17th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses0(62nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Submission losses0(54th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(62nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes3.50(92nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Takedown defencen/a
Share of cage time in control70%(100th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground60%(92nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Stylewrestler (6.5 takedown attempts per 15 min; 70% control)
Career stage
Age32.9(42nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Age at UFC debut31.8(62nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Years since UFC debut1.1(17th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
UFC bouts2(8th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Cage time, minutes30(17th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.8(62nd percentile at Women's Bantamweight)
Days since last bout190(79th percentile at Women's Bantamweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C510152020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262025-10-03: #16, Women's Bantamweight2025-10-10: #15, Women's Bantamweight2025-10-17: #16, Women's Bantamweight2025-10-24: #17, Women's Bantamweight2025-10-31: #17, Women's Bantamweight2025-11-07: #17, Women's Bantamweight2025-11-14: #16, Women's Bantamweight2025-11-21: #16, Women's Bantamweight2025-12-05: #16, Women's Bantamweight2025-12-12: #16, Women's Bantamweight2026-01-23: #16, Women's Bantamweight2026-01-30: #16, Women's Bantamweight2026-02-06: #16, Women's Bantamweight2026-02-20: #16, Women's Bantamweight2026-02-27: #15, Women's Bantamweight2026-03-06: #14, Women's Bantamweight2026-03-13: #13, Women's Bantamweight2026-03-20: #13, Women's Bantamweight2026-03-27: #13, Women's Bantamweight2026-04-03: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-04-10: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-04-17: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-04-24: #13, Women's Bantamweight2026-05-01: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-05-08: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-05-15: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-05-29: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-06-05: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-06-13: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-06-19: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-06-26: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-07-10: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-07-17: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-07-24: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-07-31: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-08-07: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-08-14: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-08-21: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-08-28: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-09-04: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-09-11: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-09-18: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-09-25: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-09-26: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-10-03: #11, Women's Bantamweight2026-10-10: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-10-17: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-10-24: #12, Women's Bantamweight2026-10-31: #11, Women's Bantamweight#11

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 83 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,5001,5501,6002026Sep 2025Oct 20262025-09-27: 1,544 (W vs Luana Carolina)2026-04-25: 1,570 (W vs Mayra Bueno Silva)1,570

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like her, not a forecast for her; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.