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Shi Ming

Women's Strawweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #28; v1.1 (shadow) #28

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 27-30: the 10th to 90th percentile of her position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,493, deviation 241: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 31 (born 1994-11-14) · Height 5 ft 2 in (157 cm) · Reach 60 in (152 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 435 days since last bout (2025-08-23) · Last five 1-1 · Streak L1

Why she is ranked here

Rating 1,493 is the division's 33rd highest of 49 board fighters after an inactivity penalty of 20 points for 435 days without a bout; the ledger stands at -1.0 (less 1.0 for other losses outside the top 5; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-1 last five). Score -0.17 = -0.17 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.00 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put her at #28.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.1770% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.17resume rating 1,493 (raw 1,513 less inactivity penalty 20), scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.00quality ledger -1.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -1.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 1-1
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #28v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#28score -0.27; score order #27; placement rules -> #28

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 2 UFC bouts

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2025-08-23UFC - Road to UFC 4.6Bruna BrasilunrankedLunanimous decision3 (5:00)63%
2024-11-23UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo (title)Feng XiaocanunrankedWKO/TKO3 (0:46)50%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for her (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 49 board fighters at Women's Strawweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute2.41(8th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Significant strike accuracy28%(2nd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.58(92nd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Share of wins by finish100%(100th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute3.07(24th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Significant strike defence54%(51st percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(47th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career79(14th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
KO/TKO losses0(57th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Submission losses0(63rd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(57th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes1.75(61st percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Takedown defence50%(27th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Share of cage time in control24%(59th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground5%(8th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Stylemixed (3.5 takedown attempts per 15 min; 24% control)
Career stage
Age32.0(44th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Age at UFC debut30.0(79th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Years since UFC debut1.9(24th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
UFC bouts2(20th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Cage time, minutes26(20th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.0(35th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Days since last bout435(90th percentile at Women's Strawweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C10203020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262024-12-06: title holder, Women's Strawweight2024-12-13: title holder, Women's Strawweight2025-01-10: title holder, Women's Strawweight2025-01-17: title holder, Women's Strawweight2025-01-31: title holder, Women's Strawweight2025-02-07: title holder, Women's Strawweight2025-02-14: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-02-21: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-02-28: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-03-07: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-03-14: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-03-21: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-03-28: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-04-04: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-04-11: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-04-25: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-05-02: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-05-09: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-05-16: #15, Women's Strawweight2025-05-30: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-06-06: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-06-13: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-06-20: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-06-27: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-07-11: #16, Women's Strawweight2025-07-18: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-07-25: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-08-01: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-08-08: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-08-15: #17, Women's Strawweight2025-08-22: #18, Women's Strawweight2025-09-05: #23, Women's Strawweight2025-09-12: #23, Women's Strawweight2025-09-26: #23, Women's Strawweight2025-10-03: #23, Women's Strawweight2025-10-10: #23, Women's Strawweight2025-10-17: #24, Women's Strawweight2025-10-24: #24, Women's Strawweight2025-10-31: #25, Women's Strawweight2025-11-07: #26, Women's Strawweight2025-11-14: #27, Women's Strawweight2025-11-21: #26, Women's Strawweight2025-12-05: #26, Women's Strawweight2025-12-12: #26, Women's Strawweight2026-01-23: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-01-30: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-02-06: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-02-20: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-02-27: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-03-06: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-03-13: #25, Women's Strawweight2026-03-20: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-03-27: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-04-03: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-04-10: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-04-17: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-04-24: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-05-01: #22, Women's Strawweight2026-05-08: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-05-15: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-05-29: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-06-05: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-06-13: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-06-19: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-06-26: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-07-10: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-07-17: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-07-24: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-07-31: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-08-07: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-08-14: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-08-21: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-08-28: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-09-04: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-09-11: #26, Women's Strawweight2026-09-18: #26, Women's Strawweight2026-09-25: #26, Women's Strawweight2026-09-26: #28, Women's Strawweight2026-10-03: #28, Women's Strawweight2026-10-10: #27, Women's Strawweight2026-10-17: #28, Women's Strawweight2026-10-24: #28, Women's Strawweight2026-10-31: #28, Women's Strawweight#28

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 49 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,4501,5002026Nov 2024Oct 20262024-11-23: 1,500 (W vs Feng Xiaocan)2025-08-23: 1,473 (L vs Bruna Brasil)1,473

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like her, not a forecast for her; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.