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Carol Foro

Women's Strawweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #24; v1.1 (shadow) #20

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 21-25: the 10th to 90th percentile of her position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,516, deviation 291: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 29 (born 1997-03-21) · Height 5 ft 2 in (157 cm) · Reach 61 in (155 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 85 days since last bout (2026-08-08) · Last five 1-0 · Streak W1

Why she is ranked here

Rating 1,516 is the division's 30th highest of 49 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-0 last five). Score -0.04 = -0.09 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.05 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put her at #23; the head-to-head rule (the winner of the most recent meeting within three years moves directly above the loser when ranked at most three places behind, six within a year) placed her #24.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.0470% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.09resume rating 1,516, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.05quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 1-0
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #23; head-to-head -> #24v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#20score -0.05; score order #20

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 1 UFC bout

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2026-08-08UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. SalkilldGigi CanutounrankedWunanimous decision3 (5:00)50%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for her (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 49 board fighters at Women's Strawweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute7.07(90th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Significant strike accuracy61%(98th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(49th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Share of wins by finish0%(19th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute3.73(45th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Significant strike defence48%(20th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(47th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career56(8th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
KO/TKO losses0(57th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Submission losses0(63rd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(57th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes0.00(16th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Takedown defence43%(16th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Share of cage time in control6%(12th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground14%(33rd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Stylestriker (0.0 takedown attempts per 15 min; 6% control)
Career stage
Age29.6(23rd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Age at UFC debut29.4(69th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Years since UFC debut0.2(12th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
UFC bouts1(14th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Cage time, minutes15(14th percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.0(33rd percentile at Women's Strawweight)
Days since last bout85(49th percentile at Women's Strawweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C51015202520252026Oct 2023Oct 20262026-08-14: #21, Women's Strawweight2026-08-21: #21, Women's Strawweight2026-08-28: #21, Women's Strawweight2026-09-04: #22, Women's Strawweight2026-09-11: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-09-18: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-09-25: #23, Women's Strawweight2026-09-26: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-10-03: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-10-10: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-10-17: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-10-24: #24, Women's Strawweight2026-10-31: #24, Women's Strawweight#24

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 119 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,5501,600Aug 2026Oct 20262026-08-08: 1,556 (W vs Gigi Canuto)1,556

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like her, not a forecast for her; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.