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Aleksandre Topuria

Bantamweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #27; v1.1 (shadow) #26

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 25-32: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,546, deviation 244: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 30 (born 1996-01-28) · Height 5 ft 7 in (170 cm) · Reach 68 in (173 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 344 days since last bout (2025-11-22) · Last five 2-0 · Streak W2

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,546 is the division's 40th highest of 86 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (2-0 last five). Score +0.09 = +0.03 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.06 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #27.

TermValueDetail
Score+0.0970% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term+0.03resume rating 1,546, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.06quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 2-0
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #27v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#26score +0.09; score order #26

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 2 UFC bouts

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2025-11-22UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. HookerBekzat AlmakhanunrankedWunanimous decision3 (5:00)41%
2025-02-08UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2Colby ThicknesseunrankedWunanimous decision3 (5:00)50%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 86 board fighters at Bantamweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute2.93(23rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strike accuracy55%(86th percentile at Bantamweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(37th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of wins by finish0%(15th percentile at Bantamweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute2.57(15th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strike defence69%(98th percentile at Bantamweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(45th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career77(20th percentile at Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses0(63rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Submission losses0(66th percentile at Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(64th percentile at Bantamweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes1.50(58th percentile at Bantamweight)
Takedown defence100%(100th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of cage time in control25%(73rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground10%(28th percentile at Bantamweight)
Stylemixed (4.5 takedown attempts per 15 min; 25% control)
Career stage
Age30.8(39th percentile at Bantamweight)
Age at UFC debut29.0(73rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Years since UFC debut1.7(33rd percentile at Bantamweight)
UFC bouts2(29th percentile at Bantamweight)
Cage time, minutes30(34th percentile at Bantamweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.2(38th percentile at Bantamweight)
Days since last bout344(87th percentile at Bantamweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C1020304020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262025-02-14: #36, Bantamweight2025-02-21: #36, Bantamweight2025-02-28: #35, Bantamweight2025-03-07: #35, Bantamweight2025-03-14: #35, Bantamweight2025-03-21: #36, Bantamweight2025-03-28: #36, Bantamweight2025-04-04: #37, Bantamweight2025-04-11: #37, Bantamweight2025-04-25: #37, Bantamweight2025-05-02: #38, Bantamweight2025-05-09: #37, Bantamweight2025-05-16: #37, Bantamweight2025-05-30: #37, Bantamweight2025-06-06: #37, Bantamweight2025-06-13: #37, Bantamweight2025-06-20: #37, Bantamweight2025-06-27: #37, Bantamweight2025-07-11: #37, Bantamweight2025-07-18: #37, Bantamweight2025-07-25: #37, Bantamweight2025-08-01: #35, Bantamweight2025-08-08: #35, Bantamweight2025-08-15: #37, Bantamweight2025-08-22: #37, Bantamweight2025-09-05: #37, Bantamweight2025-09-12: #37, Bantamweight2025-09-26: #38, Bantamweight2025-10-03: #38, Bantamweight2025-10-10: #38, Bantamweight2025-10-17: #39, Bantamweight2025-10-24: #39, Bantamweight2025-10-31: #39, Bantamweight2025-11-07: #38, Bantamweight2025-11-14: #38, Bantamweight2025-11-21: #37, Bantamweight2025-12-05: #28, Bantamweight2025-12-12: #27, Bantamweight2026-01-23: #27, Bantamweight2026-01-30: #27, Bantamweight2026-02-06: #27, Bantamweight2026-02-20: #27, Bantamweight2026-02-27: #27, Bantamweight2026-03-06: #30, Bantamweight2026-03-13: #30, Bantamweight2026-03-20: #30, Bantamweight2026-03-27: #30, Bantamweight2026-04-03: #30, Bantamweight2026-04-10: #31, Bantamweight2026-04-17: #31, Bantamweight2026-04-24: #30, Bantamweight2026-05-01: #31, Bantamweight2026-05-08: #30, Bantamweight2026-05-15: #30, Bantamweight2026-05-29: #31, Bantamweight2026-06-05: #32, Bantamweight2026-06-13: #32, Bantamweight2026-06-19: #32, Bantamweight2026-06-26: #32, Bantamweight2026-07-10: #32, Bantamweight2026-07-17: #31, Bantamweight2026-07-24: #31, Bantamweight2026-07-31: #31, Bantamweight2026-08-07: #30, Bantamweight2026-08-14: #30, Bantamweight2026-08-21: #31, Bantamweight2026-08-28: #31, Bantamweight2026-09-04: #31, Bantamweight2026-09-11: #31, Bantamweight2026-09-18: #31, Bantamweight2026-09-25: #30, Bantamweight2026-09-26: #30, Bantamweight2026-10-03: #30, Bantamweight2026-10-10: #28, Bantamweight2026-10-17: #29, Bantamweight2026-10-24: #29, Bantamweight2026-10-31: #27, Bantamweight#27

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 55 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,5001,5501,6002026Feb 2025Oct 20262025-02-08: 1,524 (W vs Colby Thicknesse)2025-11-22: 1,571 (W vs Bekzat Almakhan)1,571

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.