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Imanol Rodriguez

Flyweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #12; v1.1 (shadow) #10

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 10-12: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,571, deviation 225: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 26 (born 1999-11-15) · Height unknown · Reach unknown · Stance Orthodox · 29 days since last bout (2026-10-03) · Last five 2-0 · Streak W2

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,571 is the division's 14th highest of 49 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (2-0 last five). Score +0.14 = +0.09 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.05 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #12.

TermValueDetail
Score+0.1470% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term+0.09resume rating 1,571, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.05quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 2-0
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #12v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#10score +0.14; score order #10

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 2 UFC bouts

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2026-10-03UFC 332: Silva vs. WangAlden CoriaunrankedWKO/TKO1 (3:11)44%
2026-02-28UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghKevin BorjasunrankedWKO/TKO2 (4:21)66%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 49 board fighters at Flyweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute5.27(92nd percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strike accuracy51%(86th percentile at Flyweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes2.39(98th percentile at Flyweight)
Share of wins by finish100%(100th percentile at Flyweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute2.07(14th percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strike defence62%(90th percentile at Flyweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes2.39(100th percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career26(6th percentile at Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses0(51st percentile at Flyweight)
Submission losses0(51st percentile at Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(53rd percentile at Flyweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes2.39(76th percentile at Flyweight)
Takedown defencen/a
Share of cage time in control29%(73rd percentile at Flyweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground27%(78th percentile at Flyweight)
Stylemixed (4.8 takedown attempts per 15 min; 29% control)
Career stage
Age27.0(16th percentile at Flyweight)
Age at UFC debut26.3(39th percentile at Flyweight)
Years since UFC debut0.7(12th percentile at Flyweight)
UFC bouts2(18th percentile at Flyweight)
Cage time, minutes13(8th percentile at Flyweight)
Bouts per year, last three years2.0(73rd percentile at Flyweight)
Days since last bout29(12th percentile at Flyweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C510152020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262026-03-06: #19, Flyweight2026-03-13: #19, Flyweight2026-03-20: #19, Flyweight2026-03-27: #19, Flyweight2026-04-03: #19, Flyweight2026-04-10: #19, Flyweight2026-04-17: #19, Flyweight2026-04-24: #18, Flyweight2026-05-01: #17, Flyweight2026-05-08: #18, Flyweight2026-05-15: #18, Flyweight2026-05-29: #18, Flyweight2026-06-05: #17, Flyweight2026-06-13: #17, Flyweight2026-06-19: #17, Flyweight2026-06-26: #16, Flyweight2026-07-10: #17, Flyweight2026-07-17: #17, Flyweight2026-07-24: #17, Flyweight2026-07-31: #18, Flyweight2026-08-07: #18, Flyweight2026-08-14: #18, Flyweight2026-08-21: #18, Flyweight2026-08-28: #18, Flyweight2026-09-04: #20, Flyweight2026-09-11: #20, Flyweight2026-09-18: #18, Flyweight2026-09-25: #18, Flyweight2026-09-26: #18, Flyweight2026-10-03: #13, Flyweight2026-10-10: #13, Flyweight2026-10-17: #13, Flyweight2026-10-24: #13, Flyweight2026-10-31: #12, Flyweight#12

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 98 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,5001,5501,6001,650Feb 2026Oct 20262026-02-28: 1,529 (W vs Kevin Borjas)2026-10-03: 1,634 (W vs Alden Coria)1,634

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.