Lucia Szabova

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 13-17: the 10th to 90th percentile of her position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,539, deviation 266: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 28 (born 1997-12-23) · Height unknown · Reach unknown · Stance unknown · 1 days since last bout (2026-10-31) · Last five 1-0 · Streak W1

Why she is ranked here

Rating 1,539 is the division's 19th highest of 37 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-0 last five). Score +0.04 = +0.00 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.04 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put her at #14.

Term	Value	Detail
Score	+0.04	70% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term	+0.00	resume rating 1,539, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term	+0.04	quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty	0.00	last five 1-0
Quality wins, 15 years	0	0 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placement	score order #14	v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1	#13	score +0.03; score order #13

All 1 UFC bout

Date	Event	Opponent	Opp. official rank	Result	Method	Round	Model p
2026-10-31	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan	Tainara Lisboa	unranked	W	KO/TKO	3 (3:20)	64%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for her (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 37 board fighters at Women's Flyweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute	5.25	(86th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Significant strike accuracy	73%	(100th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes	0.00	(51st percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Share of wins by finish	100%	(100th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute	1.05	(3rd percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Significant strike defence	46%	(14th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes	0.00	(54th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career	14	(5th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses	0	(54th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Submission losses	0	(65th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger	0.000	(57th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes	5.62	(100th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Takedown defence	89%	(94th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Share of cage time in control	68%	(100th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground	79%	(100th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Style	wrestler (9.0 takedown attempts per 15 min; 68% control)
Career stage
Age	28.9	(19th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Age at UFC debut	28.9	(67th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Years since UFC debut	0.0	(3rd percentile at Women's Flyweight)
UFC bouts	1	(8th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Cage time, minutes	13	(8th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Bouts per year, last three years	1.0	(38th percentile at Women's Flyweight)
Days since last bout	1	(3rd percentile at Women's Flyweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 131 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like her, not a forecast for her; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.