Ethyn Ewing

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 20-25: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,568, deviation 230: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 28 (born 1998-02-16) · Height unknown · Reach unknown · Stance unknown · 211 days since last bout (2026-04-04) · Last five 2-0 · Streak W2

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,568 is the division's 35th highest of 86 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (2-0 last five). Score +0.16 = +0.10 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.06 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #22.

Term	Value	Detail
Score	+0.16	70% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term	+0.10	resume rating 1,568, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term	+0.06	quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty	0.00	last five 2-0
Quality wins, 15 years	0	0 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placement	score order #22	v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1	#22	score +0.15; score order #22

All 2 UFC bouts

Date	Event	Opponent	Opp. official rank	Result	Method	Round	Model p
2026-04-04	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan	Rafael Estevam	unranked	W	KO/TKO	3 (1:44)	53%
2025-11-15	UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev	Malcolm Wellmaker	unranked	W	unanimous decision	3 (5:00)	36%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 86 board fighters at Bantamweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute	7.44	(98th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strike accuracy	55%	(87th percentile at Bantamweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes	0.56	(77th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of wins by finish	50%	(59th percentile at Bantamweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute	4.53	(77th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strike defence	63%	(91st percentile at Bantamweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes	0.00	(45th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career	121	(36th percentile at Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses	0	(63rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Submission losses	0	(66th percentile at Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger	0.000	(64th percentile at Bantamweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes	1.68	(62nd percentile at Bantamweight)
Takedown defence	100%	(100th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of cage time in control	6%	(29th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground	13%	(34th percentile at Bantamweight)
Style	mixed (2.8 takedown attempts per 15 min; 6% control)
Career stage
Age	28.7	(26th percentile at Bantamweight)
Age at UFC debut	27.7	(54th percentile at Bantamweight)
Years since UFC debut	1.0	(22nd percentile at Bantamweight)
UFC bouts	2	(29th percentile at Bantamweight)
Cage time, minutes	27	(28th percentile at Bantamweight)
Bouts per year, last three years	2.0	(83rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Days since last bout	211	(72nd percentile at Bantamweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Listed at Featherweight, then Bantamweight over this period. Absent from 90 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.