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Stan Dorsainvil

Lightweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #45; v1.1 (shadow) #35

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 38-54: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,501, deviation 266: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 26 (born 2000-05-12) · Height unknown · Reach unknown · Stance unknown · 71 days since last bout (2026-08-22) · Last five 1-0 · Streak W1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,501 is the division's 68th highest of 96 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-0 last five). Score -0.04 = -0.12 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.08 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #45.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.0470% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.12resume rating 1,501, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.08quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 1-0
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #45v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#35score -0.05; score order #35

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 1 UFC bout

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2026-08-22UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. RodriguesGauge YoungunrankedWunanimous decision3 (5:00)38%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 96 board fighters at Lightweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute8.20(98th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strike accuracy41%(18th percentile at Lightweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(24th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of wins by finish0%(8th percentile at Lightweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute9.13(99th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strike defence46%(20th percentile at Lightweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(35th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career137(28th percentile at Lightweight)
KO/TKO losses0(40th percentile at Lightweight)
Submission losses0(52nd percentile at Lightweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(41st percentile at Lightweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes2.00(76th percentile at Lightweight)
Takedown defence67%(50th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of cage time in control10%(32nd percentile at Lightweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground28%(69th percentile at Lightweight)
Stylemixed (7.0 takedown attempts per 15 min; 10% control)
Career stage
Age26.5(7th percentile at Lightweight)
Age at UFC debut26.3(44th percentile at Lightweight)
Years since UFC debut0.2(3rd percentile at Lightweight)
UFC bouts1(11th percentile at Lightweight)
Cage time, minutes15(15th percentile at Lightweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.0(29th percentile at Lightweight)
Days since last bout71(38th percentile at Lightweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C102030405020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262026-08-28: #46, Lightweight2026-09-04: #46, Lightweight2026-09-11: #48, Lightweight2026-09-18: #47, Lightweight2026-09-25: #47, Lightweight2026-09-26: #47, Lightweight2026-10-03: #47, Lightweight2026-10-10: #46, Lightweight2026-10-17: #47, Lightweight2026-10-24: #46, Lightweight2026-10-31: #45, Lightweight#45

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 121 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,5001,550Aug 2026Oct 20262026-08-22: 1,523 (W vs Gauge Young)1,523

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.