Shem Rock

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 77-80: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,441, deviation 237: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age unknown · Height unknown · Reach unknown · Stance unknown · 225 days since last bout (2026-03-21) · Last five 0-2 · Streak L2

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,441 is the division's 87th highest of 96 board fighters; the ledger stands at -2.0 (less 2.0 for blowout losses; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (0-2 last five). Score -0.37 = -0.29 (rating term, 70% weight) -0.08 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #79.

Term	Value	Detail
Score	-0.37	70% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term	-0.29	resume rating 1,441, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term	-0.08	quality ledger -2.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -2.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty	0.00	last five 0-2
Quality wins, 15 years	0	0 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placement	score order #79	v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1	#78	score -0.56; score order #78

All 2 UFC bouts

Date	Event	Opponent	Opp. official rank	Result	Method	Round	Model p
2026-03-21	UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	unranked	L	unanimous decision	3 (5:00)	54%
2025-11-22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker	Nurullo Aliev	unranked	L	unanimous decision	3 (5:00)	39%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 96 board fighters at Lightweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute	3.03	(15th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strike accuracy	39%	(9th percentile at Lightweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes	0.00	(24th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of wins by finish	n/a
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute	4.40	(56th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strike defence	50%	(38th percentile at Lightweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes	0.00	(35th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career	132	(27th percentile at Lightweight)
KO/TKO losses	0	(40th percentile at Lightweight)
Submission losses	0	(52nd percentile at Lightweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger	0.000	(41st percentile at Lightweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes	1.00	(39th percentile at Lightweight)
Takedown defence	89%	(96th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of cage time in control	5%	(14th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground	9%	(16th percentile at Lightweight)
Style	mixed (7.5 takedown attempts per 15 min; 5% control)
Career stage
Age	n/a
Age at UFC debut	n/a
Years since UFC debut	0.9	(19th percentile at Lightweight)
UFC bouts	2	(21st percentile at Lightweight)
Cage time, minutes	30	(27th percentile at Lightweight)
Bouts per year, last three years	2.0	(83rd percentile at Lightweight)
Days since last bout	225	(79th percentile at Lightweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 91 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.