Lightweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #59; v1.1 (shadow) #55
Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).
Weight band 58-64: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,487, deviation 241: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.
Age 31 (born 1995-04-10) · Height 5 ft 8 in (173 cm) · Reach 69 in (175 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 225 days since last bout (2026-03-21) · Last five 1-1 · Streak W1
Why he is ranked here
Rating 1,487 is the division's 71st highest of 96 board fighters; the ledger stands at -1.0 (less 1.0 for other losses outside the top 5; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-1 last five). Score -0.16 = -0.16 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.00 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #59.
Term
Value
Detail
Score
-0.16
70% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term
-0.16
resume rating 1,487, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.
Career statistics
Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 96 board fighters at Lightweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.
Output
Significant strikes landed per minute
4.61
(57th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strike accuracy
56%
(86th percentile at Lightweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes
0.00
(24th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of wins by finish
0%
(8th percentile at Lightweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute
3.33
(22nd percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strike defence
61%
(92nd percentile at Lightweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes
0.58
(80th percentile at Lightweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career
86
(20th percentile at Lightweight)
KO/TKO losses
1 (last 2024-03-02, 974 days ago)
(62nd percentile at Lightweight)
Submission losses
0
(52nd percentile at Lightweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger
0.338
(96th percentile at Lightweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes
1.74
(66th percentile at Lightweight)
Takedown defence
55%
(21st percentile at Lightweight)
Share of cage time in control
12%
(35th percentile at Lightweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground
12%
(24th percentile at Lightweight)
Style
mixed (6.4 takedown attempts per 15 min; 12% control)
Career stage
Age
31.6
(43rd percentile at Lightweight)
Age at UFC debut
28.9
(78th percentile at Lightweight)
Years since UFC debut
2.7
(30th percentile at Lightweight)
UFC bouts
2
(21st percentile at Lightweight)
Cage time, minutes
26
(23rd percentile at Lightweight)
Bouts per year, last three years
0.8
(10th percentile at Lightweight)
Days since last bout
225
(79th percentile at Lightweight)
Board position since Oct 2023
Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 37 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).
Predictive rating by bout
Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.
Trajectory
No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).
Context flags
Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.
Age band: 30 to 32 (age 31). On the board's own history (3,748 bouts between two board fighters, 2014 to 2026) the higher-scored fighter won 64% of bouts when under 30, 59% at 30 to 32, 57% at 33 to 35 and 42 to 46% at 36 and over (EXP-2026-10-20-09). A population rate, not a forecast for him.
Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence (deviation 241).
Not raised: no KO/TKO loss in the last 90 days; last bout within 12 months.
REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.