Back to the boards · All fighter profiles

Tre'ston Vines

Middleweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #50; v1.1 (shadow) #45

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 47-54: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,457, deviation 277: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 30 (born 1996-06-18) · Height 6 ft 1 in (185 cm) · Reach 79 in (201 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 393 days since last bout (2025-10-04) · Last five 0-1 · Streak L1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,457 is the division's 67th highest of 79 board fighters after an inactivity penalty of 8 points for 393 days without a bout; the ledger stands at -1.0 (less 1.0 for blowout losses; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (0-1 last five). Score -0.24 = -0.24 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.00 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #50.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.2470% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.24resume rating 1,457 (raw 1,465 less inactivity penalty 8), scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.00quality ledger -1.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -1.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 0-1
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #50v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#45score -0.34; score order #45

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 1 UFC bout

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2025-10-04UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2Ateba GautierunrankedLKO/TKO1 (1:41)33%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 79 board fighters at Middleweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute0.00(1st percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strike accuracy0%(1st percentile at Middleweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(30th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of wins by finishn/a
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute3.56(53rd percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strike defence50%(42nd percentile at Middleweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes8.91(99th percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career6(3rd percentile at Middleweight)
KO/TKO losses1 (last 2025-10-04, 393 days ago)(65th percentile at Middleweight)
Submission losses0(59th percentile at Middleweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.425(99th percentile at Middleweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes0.00(16th percentile at Middleweight)
Takedown defence0%(8th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of cage time in control6%(20th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the groundn/a
Stylemixed (17.8 takedown attempts per 15 min; 6% control)
Career stage
Age30.4(22nd percentile at Middleweight)
Age at UFC debut29.3(58th percentile at Middleweight)
Years since UFC debut1.1(22nd percentile at Middleweight)
UFC bouts1(11th percentile at Middleweight)
Cage time, minutes2(4th percentile at Middleweight)
Bouts per year, last three years0.9(1st percentile at Middleweight)
Days since last bout393(97th percentile at Middleweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C20406020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262025-10-10: #47, Middleweight2025-10-17: #47, Middleweight2025-10-24: #48, Middleweight2025-10-31: #48, Middleweight2025-11-07: #49, Middleweight2025-11-14: #49, Middleweight2025-11-21: #50, Middleweight2025-12-05: #49, Middleweight2025-12-12: #49, Middleweight2026-01-23: #50, Middleweight2026-01-30: #50, Middleweight2026-02-06: #50, Middleweight2026-02-20: #51, Middleweight2026-02-27: #51, Middleweight2026-03-06: #53, Middleweight2026-03-13: #53, Middleweight2026-03-20: #52, Middleweight2026-03-27: #52, Middleweight2026-04-03: #51, Middleweight2026-04-10: #51, Middleweight2026-04-17: #51, Middleweight2026-04-24: #51, Middleweight2026-05-01: #51, Middleweight2026-05-08: #52, Middleweight2026-05-15: #51, Middleweight2026-05-29: #50, Middleweight2026-06-05: #50, Middleweight2026-06-13: #50, Middleweight2026-06-19: #49, Middleweight2026-06-26: #49, Middleweight2026-07-10: #47, Middleweight2026-07-17: #45, Middleweight2026-07-24: #44, Middleweight2026-07-31: #44, Middleweight2026-08-07: #44, Middleweight2026-08-14: #44, Middleweight2026-08-21: #45, Middleweight2026-08-28: #45, Middleweight2026-09-04: #45, Middleweight2026-09-11: #47, Middleweight2026-09-18: #47, Middleweight2026-09-25: #46, Middleweight2026-09-26: #45, Middleweight2026-10-03: #45, Middleweight2026-10-10: #45, Middleweight2026-10-17: #48, Middleweight2026-10-24: #49, Middleweight2026-10-31: #50, Middleweight#50

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 84 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,4001,4502026Oct 2025Oct 20262025-10-04: 1,438 (L vs Ateba Gautier)1,438

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.