Back to the boards · All fighter profiles

Terrance Saeteurn

Flyweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #39; v1.1 (shadow) #39

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 39-40: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,447, deviation 281: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 31 (born 1995-05-30) · Height 5 ft 6 in (168 cm) · Reach 67 in (170 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 435 days since last bout (2025-08-23) · Last five 0-1 · Streak L1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,447 is the division's 44th highest of 49 board fighters after an inactivity penalty of 20 points for 435 days without a bout; the ledger stands at -1.0 (less 1.0 for blowout losses; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (0-1 last five). Score -0.31 = -0.31 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.00 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #39.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.3170% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.31resume rating 1,447 (raw 1,467 less inactivity penalty 20), scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.00quality ledger -1.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -1.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 0-1
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #39v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#39score -0.41; score order #39

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 1 UFC bout

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2025-08-23UFC - Road to UFC 4.6Nyamjargal TumendemberelunrankedLsubmission1 (2:53)57%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 49 board fighters at Flyweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute3.82(51st percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strike accuracy41%(27th percentile at Flyweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(33rd percentile at Flyweight)
Share of wins by finishn/a
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute3.82(61st percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strike defence52%(35th percentile at Flyweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(39th percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career11(4th percentile at Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses0(51st percentile at Flyweight)
Submission losses1(82nd percentile at Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(53rd percentile at Flyweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes0.00(12th percentile at Flyweight)
Takedown defence0%(4th percentile at Flyweight)
Share of cage time in control14%(45th percentile at Flyweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground18%(57th percentile at Flyweight)
Stylemixed (5.2 takedown attempts per 15 min; 14% control)
Career stage
Age31.4(53rd percentile at Flyweight)
Age at UFC debut30.2(90th percentile at Flyweight)
Years since UFC debut1.2(16th percentile at Flyweight)
UFC bouts1(12th percentile at Flyweight)
Cage time, minutes3(2nd percentile at Flyweight)
Bouts per year, last three years0.8(6th percentile at Flyweight)
Days since last bout435(96th percentile at Flyweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C102030405020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262025-09-05: #33, Flyweight2025-09-12: #33, Flyweight2025-09-26: #33, Flyweight2025-10-03: #33, Flyweight2025-10-10: #33, Flyweight2025-10-17: #34, Flyweight2025-10-24: #34, Flyweight2025-10-31: #35, Flyweight2025-11-07: #35, Flyweight2025-11-14: #35, Flyweight2025-11-21: #35, Flyweight2025-12-05: #36, Flyweight2025-12-12: #35, Flyweight2026-01-23: #34, Flyweight2026-01-30: #35, Flyweight2026-02-06: #35, Flyweight2026-02-20: #34, Flyweight2026-02-27: #35, Flyweight2026-03-06: #36, Flyweight2026-03-13: #37, Flyweight2026-03-20: #37, Flyweight2026-03-27: #37, Flyweight2026-04-03: #37, Flyweight2026-04-10: #38, Flyweight2026-04-17: #38, Flyweight2026-04-24: #38, Flyweight2026-05-01: #37, Flyweight2026-05-08: #37, Flyweight2026-05-15: #36, Flyweight2026-05-29: #35, Flyweight2026-06-05: #36, Flyweight2026-06-13: #36, Flyweight2026-06-19: #36, Flyweight2026-06-26: #36, Flyweight2026-07-10: #35, Flyweight2026-07-17: #35, Flyweight2026-07-24: #35, Flyweight2026-07-31: #35, Flyweight2026-08-07: #35, Flyweight2026-08-14: #35, Flyweight2026-08-21: #36, Flyweight2026-08-28: #36, Flyweight2026-09-04: #36, Flyweight2026-09-11: #38, Flyweight2026-09-18: #39, Flyweight2026-09-25: #39, Flyweight2026-09-26: #39, Flyweight2026-10-03: #39, Flyweight2026-10-10: #41, Flyweight2026-10-17: #41, Flyweight2026-10-24: #41, Flyweight2026-10-31: #39, Flyweight#39

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 80 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,4001,4502026Aug 2025Oct 20262025-08-23: 1,434 (L vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel)1,434

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.