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Robert Ruchala

Featherweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #67; v1.1 (shadow) #66

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 66-68: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,465, deviation 239: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 28 (born 1998-05-15) · Height 5 ft 8 in (173 cm) · Reach 72 in (183 cm) · Stance Switch · 211 days since last bout (2026-04-04) · Last five 0-2 · Streak L2

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,465 is the division's 75th highest of 94 board fighters; the ledger stands at -2.0 (less 2.0 for other losses outside the top 5; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (0-2 last five). Score -0.26 = -0.19 (rating term, 70% weight) -0.08 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #67.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.2670% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.19resume rating 1,465, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term-0.08quality ledger -2.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -2.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 0-2
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #67v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#66score -0.46; score order #66

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 2 UFC bouts

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2026-04-04UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanJose DelanounrankedLunanimous decision3 (5:00)50%
2025-09-06UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoWilliam GomisunrankedLunanimous decision3 (5:00)36%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 94 board fighters at Featherweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute3.37(33rd percentile at Featherweight)
Significant strike accuracy34%(7th percentile at Featherweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(37th percentile at Featherweight)
Share of wins by finishn/a
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute5.20(77th percentile at Featherweight)
Significant strike defence45%(22nd percentile at Featherweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(36th percentile at Featherweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career156(52nd percentile at Featherweight)
KO/TKO losses0(41st percentile at Featherweight)
Submission losses0(77th percentile at Featherweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(41st percentile at Featherweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes1.00(47th percentile at Featherweight)
Takedown defence71%(68th percentile at Featherweight)
Share of cage time in control19%(67th percentile at Featherweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground14%(43rd percentile at Featherweight)
Stylemixed (4.5 takedown attempts per 15 min; 19% control)
Career stage
Age28.5(18th percentile at Featherweight)
Age at UFC debut27.3(45th percentile at Featherweight)
Years since UFC debut1.2(33rd percentile at Featherweight)
UFC bouts2(31st percentile at Featherweight)
Cage time, minutes30(45th percentile at Featherweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.7(64th percentile at Featherweight)
Days since last bout211(73rd percentile at Featherweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C2040608020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262025-09-12: #50, Featherweight2025-09-26: #48, Featherweight2025-10-03: #48, Featherweight2025-10-10: #48, Featherweight2025-10-17: #48, Featherweight2025-10-24: #48, Featherweight2025-10-31: #48, Featherweight2025-11-07: #48, Featherweight2025-11-14: #48, Featherweight2025-11-21: #49, Featherweight2025-12-05: #49, Featherweight2025-12-12: #48, Featherweight2026-01-23: #47, Featherweight2026-01-30: #46, Featherweight2026-02-06: #47, Featherweight2026-02-20: #47, Featherweight2026-02-27: #46, Featherweight2026-03-06: #48, Featherweight2026-03-13: #48, Featherweight2026-03-20: #50, Featherweight2026-03-27: #49, Featherweight2026-04-03: #48, Featherweight2026-04-10: #65, Featherweight2026-04-17: #66, Featherweight2026-04-24: #67, Featherweight2026-05-01: #67, Featherweight2026-05-08: #68, Featherweight2026-05-15: #68, Featherweight2026-05-29: #67, Featherweight2026-06-05: #71, Featherweight2026-06-13: #69, Featherweight2026-06-19: #69, Featherweight2026-06-26: #71, Featherweight2026-07-10: #71, Featherweight2026-07-17: #71, Featherweight2026-07-24: #73, Featherweight2026-07-31: #73, Featherweight2026-08-07: #72, Featherweight2026-08-14: #71, Featherweight2026-08-21: #71, Featherweight2026-08-28: #72, Featherweight2026-09-04: #71, Featherweight2026-09-11: #70, Featherweight2026-09-18: #72, Featherweight2026-09-25: #71, Featherweight2026-09-26: #70, Featherweight2026-10-03: #71, Featherweight2026-10-10: #69, Featherweight2026-10-17: #68, Featherweight2026-10-24: #68, Featherweight2026-10-31: #67, Featherweight#67

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 81 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,4001,4501,5001,5502026Sep 2025Oct 20262025-09-06: 1,500 (L vs William Gomis)2026-04-04: 1,440 (L vs Jose Delano)1,440

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.