Matthieu Duclos

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 29-34: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,536, deviation 282: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 31 (born 1995-04-04) · Height 6 ft 3 in (190 cm) · Reach 77 in (196 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 57 days since last bout (2026-09-05) · Last five 1-0 · Streak W1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,536 is the division's 42nd highest of 79 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-0 last five). Score +0.04 = -0.02 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.06 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #33.

Term	Value	Detail
Score	+0.04	70% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term	-0.02	resume rating 1,536, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term	+0.06	quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty	0.00	last five 1-0
Quality wins, 15 years	0	0 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placement	score order #33	v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1	#27	score +0.04; score order #27

All 1 UFC bout

Date	Event	Opponent	Opp. official rank	Result	Method	Round	Model p
2026-09-05	UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse	Luis Felipe Dias	unranked	W	KO/TKO	1 (4:35)	39%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 79 board fighters at Middleweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute	3.93	(53rd percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strike accuracy	42%	(11th percentile at Middleweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes	3.27	(97th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of wins by finish	100%	(100th percentile at Middleweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute	4.80	(85th percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strike defence	56%	(72nd percentile at Middleweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes	0.00	(34th percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career	22	(13th percentile at Middleweight)
KO/TKO losses	0	(39th percentile at Middleweight)
Submission losses	0	(59th percentile at Middleweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger	0.000	(39th percentile at Middleweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes	0.00	(16th percentile at Middleweight)
Takedown defence	n/a
Share of cage time in control	2%	(6th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground	11%	(18th percentile at Middleweight)
Style	striker (0.0 takedown attempts per 15 min; 2% control)
Career stage
Age	31.6	(35th percentile at Middleweight)
Age at UFC debut	31.4	(81st percentile at Middleweight)
Years since UFC debut	0.2	(4th percentile at Middleweight)
UFC bouts	1	(11th percentile at Middleweight)
Cage time, minutes	5	(9th percentile at Middleweight)
Bouts per year, last three years	1.0	(18th percentile at Middleweight)
Days since last bout	57	(41st percentile at Middleweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 123 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.