Back to the boards · All fighter profiles

Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Middleweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #31; v1.1 (shadow) #26

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 28-33: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,544, deviation 269: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 26 (born 2000-01-06) · Height 6 ft 3 in (190 cm) · Reach 75 in (190 cm) · Stance Southpaw · 323 days since last bout (2025-12-13) · Last five 1-0 · Streak W1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,544 is the division's 40th highest of 79 board fighters; the ledger stands at +0.0 (no quality wins or recent losses on the ledger); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-0 last five). Score +0.06 = +0.00 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.06 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #31.

TermValueDetail
Score+0.0670% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term+0.00resume rating 1,544, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.06quality ledger +0.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -0.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 1-0
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #31v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#26score +0.06; score order #26

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 1 UFC bout

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2025-12-13UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. KapeCesar AlmeidaunrankedWunanimous decision3 (5:00)41%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 79 board fighters at Middleweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute0.93(4th percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strike accuracy74%(99th percentile at Middleweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(30th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of wins by finish0%(12th percentile at Middleweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute0.80(3rd percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strike defence40%(11th percentile at Middleweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(34th percentile at Middleweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career12(8th percentile at Middleweight)
KO/TKO losses0(39th percentile at Middleweight)
Submission losses0(59th percentile at Middleweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(39th percentile at Middleweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes6.00(99th percentile at Middleweight)
Takedown defencen/a
Share of cage time in control75%(97th percentile at Middleweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground29%(78th percentile at Middleweight)
Stylewrestler (7.0 takedown attempts per 15 min; 75% control)
Career stage
Age26.8(5th percentile at Middleweight)
Age at UFC debut25.9(23rd percentile at Middleweight)
Years since UFC debut0.9(18th percentile at Middleweight)
UFC bouts1(11th percentile at Middleweight)
Cage time, minutes15(18th percentile at Middleweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.0(18th percentile at Middleweight)
Days since last bout323(91st percentile at Middleweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C1020304020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262026-01-23: #28, Middleweight2026-01-30: #28, Middleweight2026-02-06: #29, Middleweight2026-02-20: #29, Middleweight2026-02-27: #29, Middleweight2026-03-06: #30, Middleweight2026-03-13: #29, Middleweight2026-03-20: #30, Middleweight2026-03-27: #29, Middleweight2026-04-03: #28, Middleweight2026-04-10: #27, Middleweight2026-04-17: #26, Middleweight2026-04-24: #27, Middleweight2026-05-01: #26, Middleweight2026-05-08: #26, Middleweight2026-05-15: #26, Middleweight2026-05-29: #26, Middleweight2026-06-05: #27, Middleweight2026-06-13: #27, Middleweight2026-06-19: #27, Middleweight2026-06-26: #27, Middleweight2026-07-10: #27, Middleweight2026-07-17: #28, Middleweight2026-07-24: #27, Middleweight2026-07-31: #27, Middleweight2026-08-07: #27, Middleweight2026-08-14: #27, Middleweight2026-08-21: #29, Middleweight2026-08-28: #29, Middleweight2026-09-04: #30, Middleweight2026-09-11: #30, Middleweight2026-09-18: #30, Middleweight2026-09-25: #30, Middleweight2026-09-26: #30, Middleweight2026-10-03: #31, Middleweight2026-10-10: #31, Middleweight2026-10-17: #30, Middleweight2026-10-24: #30, Middleweight2026-10-31: #31, Middleweight#31

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 93 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,5501,600Dec 2025Oct 20262025-12-13: 1,561 (W vs Cesar Almeida)1,561

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.