Alibi Idiris

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 33-35: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,477, deviation 223: measured from 2 UFC bouts; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 2 UFC bouts; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age 32 (born 1994-10-22) · Height 5 ft 6 in (168 cm) · Reach 68 in (173 cm) · Stance Orthodox · 253 days since last bout (2026-02-21) · Last five 1-1 · Streak W1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,477 is the division's 38th highest of 49 board fighters; the ledger stands at -1.0 (less 1.0 for other losses outside the top 5; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (1-1 last five). Score -0.21 = -0.21 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.00 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #35.

Term	Value	Detail
Score	-0.21	70% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term	-0.21	resume rating 1,477, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term	+0.00	quality ledger -1.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -1.0 weak
Form penalty	0.00	last five 1-1
Quality wins, 15 years	0	0 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placement	score order #35	v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1	#33	score -0.31; score order #33

All 2 UFC bouts

Date	Event	Opponent	Opp. official rank	Result	Method	Round	Model p
2026-02-21	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez	Ode Osbourne	unranked	W	unanimous decision	3 (5:00)	47%
2025-08-16	UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev	Joseph Morales	unranked	L	submission	2 (3:04)	50%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 49 board fighters at Flyweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute	2.51	(18th percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strike accuracy	44%	(47th percentile at Flyweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes	0.00	(33rd percentile at Flyweight)
Share of wins by finish	0%	(22nd percentile at Flyweight)
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute	2.64	(24th percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strike defence	60%	(82nd percentile at Flyweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes	0.00	(39th percentile at Flyweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career	61	(16th percentile at Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses	0	(51st percentile at Flyweight)
Submission losses	1	(82nd percentile at Flyweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger	0.000	(53rd percentile at Flyweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes	3.25	(86th percentile at Flyweight)
Takedown defence	67%	(54th percentile at Flyweight)
Share of cage time in control	31%	(84th percentile at Flyweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground	24%	(67th percentile at Flyweight)
Style	wrestler (10.4 takedown attempts per 15 min; 31% control)
Career stage
Age	32.0	(57th percentile at Flyweight)
Age at UFC debut	30.8	(92nd percentile at Flyweight)
Years since UFC debut	1.2	(18th percentile at Flyweight)
UFC bouts	2	(18th percentile at Flyweight)
Cage time, minutes	23	(18th percentile at Flyweight)
Bouts per year, last three years	1.7	(45th percentile at Flyweight)
Days since last bout	253	(84th percentile at Flyweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 79 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.