Back to the boards · All fighter profiles

Adrian Luna Martinetti

Bantamweight · REAL v1.0 (registered) #57; v1.1 (shadow) #56

Descriptive profile. The resume rank is what has been earned; these statistics are context, not a prediction. A test on Oct 20, 2026 found that career statistics add nothing reliable to age, layoff and experience as predictors of the next result (experiments/REGISTER.md, EXP-2026-10-20-14).

Weight band 55-58: the 10th to 90th percentile of his position across weight vectors drawn near the 70/30 weights. Rating 1,489, deviation 260: measured from 1 UFC bout; a one-bout newcomer sits near 290. Provisional: 1 UFC bout; the rating rests on little evidence.

Age unknown · Height unknown · Reach unknown · Stance unknown · 190 days since last bout (2026-04-25) · Last five 0-1 · Streak L1

Why he is ranked here

Rating 1,489 is the division's 64th highest of 86 board fighters; the ledger stands at -1.0 (less 1.0 for other losses outside the top 5; losses count for three years); 0 quality wins in 15 years, 0 over top-10 opponents; no form penalty (0-1 last five). Score -0.14 = -0.14 (rating term, 70% weight) +0.00 (ledger term, 30% weight) -0.00 (form penalty); score order put him at #57.

TermValueDetail
Score-0.1470% rating term + 30% ledger term - form penalty
Rating term-0.14resume rating 1,489, scaled against the division's interdecile range
Ledger term+0.00quality ledger -1.0: +0.0 QW +0.0 proof -0.0 blowout -1.0 weak
Form penalty0.00last five 0-1
Quality wins, 15 years00 over top-10 opponents, 0 over top-15
Placementscore order #57v1.0 (registered)
Shadow board v1.1#56score -0.24; score order #55; placement rules -> #56

Rules, weights and worked examples: methodology.

All 1 UFC bout

DateEventOpponentOpp. official rankResultMethodRoundModel p
2026-04-25UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. ZalalDavey GrantunrankedLunanimous decision3 (5:00)39%

Opp. official rank = the UFC media-panel rank of the opponent on the date (C champion, #1 to #15, unranked; n/a before Feb 2013 or where no official board existed). Model p = the predictive model's pre-fight win chance for him (frozen performance-adjusted Elo; bouts before 2020 were in its tuning sample). Linked opponents have a profile.

Career statistics

Through 2026-10-31, UFC bouts only. Percentile = share of the 86 board fighters at Bantamweight at or below this value; high is a position in the division, not a verdict.

Output
Significant strikes landed per minute6.60(95th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strike accuracy51%(70th percentile at Bantamweight)
Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes0.00(37th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of wins by finishn/a
Defence and damage
Significant strikes absorbed per minute10.80(100th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strike defence47%(22nd percentile at Bantamweight)
Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes0.00(45th percentile at Bantamweight)
Significant strikes absorbed, career162(42nd percentile at Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses0(63rd percentile at Bantamweight)
Submission losses0(66th percentile at Bantamweight)
KO/TKO losses per bout over 10 years, each weighted down by the finisher's danger0.000(64th percentile at Bantamweight)
Grappling
Takedowns landed per 15 minutes1.00(48th percentile at Bantamweight)
Takedown defence100%(100th percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of cage time in control5%(22nd percentile at Bantamweight)
Share of significant strikes landed in the clinch or on the ground8%(15th percentile at Bantamweight)
Stylemixed (5.0 takedown attempts per 15 min; 5% control)
Career stage
Agen/a
Age at UFC debutn/a
Years since UFC debut0.5(15th percentile at Bantamweight)
UFC bouts1(17th percentile at Bantamweight)
Cage time, minutes15(17th percentile at Bantamweight)
Bouts per year, last three years1.0(35th percentile at Bantamweight)
Days since last bout190(69th percentile at Bantamweight)

Board position since Oct 2023

C20406020252026Oct 2023Oct 20262026-05-01: #51, Bantamweight2026-05-08: #52, Bantamweight2026-05-15: #50, Bantamweight2026-05-29: #51, Bantamweight2026-06-05: #51, Bantamweight2026-06-13: #51, Bantamweight2026-06-19: #51, Bantamweight2026-06-26: #51, Bantamweight2026-07-10: #51, Bantamweight2026-07-17: #52, Bantamweight2026-07-24: #52, Bantamweight2026-07-31: #53, Bantamweight2026-08-07: #53, Bantamweight2026-08-14: #53, Bantamweight2026-08-21: #53, Bantamweight2026-08-28: #53, Bantamweight2026-09-04: #54, Bantamweight2026-09-11: #54, Bantamweight2026-09-18: #54, Bantamweight2026-09-25: #55, Bantamweight2026-09-26: #57, Bantamweight2026-10-03: #56, Bantamweight2026-10-10: #57, Bantamweight2026-10-17: #59, Bantamweight2026-10-24: #60, Bantamweight2026-10-31: #57, Bantamweight#57

Position on the registered v1.0 board at each weekly snapshot (C = title holder or reserved, drawn at the top; lower is better). Absent from 106 of 132 snapshots (gaps in the line).

Predictive rating by bout

1,4001,450Apr 2026Oct 20262026-04-25: 1,445 (L vs Davey Grant)1,445

Rating after each UFC bout from the frozen predictive model (performance-adjusted Elo, data/processed/elo_history.csv; a debut starts at 1,500). The resume rating's history is not stored, so this is the predictive line, which is a different number from the resume rating in the header.

Trajectory

No trajectory index: it needs three decided UFC bouts and a bout within the last three years (config/decline.yaml).

Context flags

Descriptive only. Each line is a population fact about fighters like him, not a forecast for him; the register entries hold the measurements.

REAL v1.0 (registered method) · build c166ee8 · data through 2026-10-31 · page built 2026-11-06 · changelog. Independent fan research project built on public UFCStats data. Not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by UFC, Zuffa, LLC, TKO Group Holdings, or any athlete. All trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify athletes and events.